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Preston Byrne rebuts Dario Amodei's call to "pace" AI development

Commenters challenge "apocalyptic predictions always wrong" logic

2 Sep 14 8:00 AM · 13d ago · 8 comments · 1 source · development 2 of 3

Multiple HN commenters argue Byrne's claim that past apocalyptic predictions about technology have all been wrong is a survivorship-bias fallacy, since a true prediction would have prevented anyone from being around to note it.

Commenters challenge "apocalyptic predictions always wrong" logic
prestonbyrne.com

“If any past apocalyptic prediction had been true, you would not have been around to write this sentence and we would not have been around to read it.”

fwlr

Dario AmodeiDario Amodei CEO of AnthropicEliezer YudkowskyEliezer Yudkowsky AI safety advocateDavid SacksDavid Sacks Commentator on XPreston Byrne Lawyer and blogger, author of the critique

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Peak 22 pieces in 4h at Sep 14, 6 AM; 22 pieces over 14 days (2 articles · 1 post · 19 comments) Sep 14, 6 AM — 22 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post · 19 comments — Hacker News 20, Newswires 2Sep 14, 10 AM — quietSep 14, 2 PM — quietSep 14, 6 PM — quietSep 14, 10 PM — quietSep 15, 2 AM — quietSep 15, 6 AM — quietSep 15, 10 AM — quietSep 15, 2 PM — quietSep 15, 6 PM — quietSep 15, 10 PM — quietSep 16, 2 AM — quietSep 16, 6 AM — quietSep 16, 10 AM — quietSep 16, 2 PM — quietSep 16, 6 PM — quietSep 16, 10 PM — quietSep 17, 2 AM — quietSep 17, 6 AM — quietSep 17, 10 AM — quietSep 17, 2 PM — quietSep 17, 6 PM — quietSep 17, 10 PM — quietSep 18, 2 AM — quietSep 18, 6 AM — quietSep 18, 10 AM — quietSep 18, 2 PM — quietSep 18, 6 PM — quietSep 18, 10 PM — quietSep 19, 2 AM — quietSep 19, 6 AM — quietSep 19, 10 AM — quietSep 19, 2 PM — quietSep 19, 6 PM — quietSep 19, 10 PM — quietSep 20, 2 AM — quietSep 20, 6 AM — quietSep 20, 10 AM — quietSep 20, 2 PM — quietSep 20, 6 PM — quietSep 20, 10 PM — quietSep 21, 2 AM — quietSep 21, 6 AM — quietSep 21, 10 AM — quietSep 21, 2 PM — quietSep 21, 6 PM — quietSep 21, 10 PM — quietSep 22, 2 AM — quietSep 22, 6 AM — quietSep 22, 10 AM — quietSep 22, 2 PM — quietSep 22, 6 PM — quietSep 22, 10 PM — quietSep 23, 2 AM — quietSep 23, 6 AM — quietSep 23, 10 AM — quietSep 23, 2 PM — quietSep 23, 6 PM — quietSep 23, 10 PM — quietSep 24, 2 AM — quietSep 24, 6 AM — quietSep 24, 10 AM — quietSep 24, 2 PM — quietSep 24, 6 PM — quietSep 24, 10 PM — quietSep 25, 2 AM — quietSep 25, 6 AM — quietSep 25, 10 AM — quietSep 25, 2 PM — quietSep 25, 6 PM — quietSep 25, 10 PM — quietSep 26, 2 AM — quietSep 26, 6 AM — quietSep 26, 10 AM — quietSep 26, 2 PM — quietSep 26, 6 PM — quietSep 26, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 6 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 6 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quiet 1–3
1–3Commenters challenge "apocalyptic…
Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26now · 2:33 AM ET

What people said 9 voices · best of 12 · verbatim

All 3 developments of Preston Byrne rebuts Dario Amodei's call to "pace" AI… →

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