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ESA report: space debris outlook worsened tenfold in a single year

Modeling shows 1,500+ collisions per year possible within a century

4 Sep 14 7:31 AM · 10d ago · 2 posts · 2 sources · development 4 of 5

Italian space journalist andreabettini reports the report's long-term projection: without countermeasures, some orbits risk becoming unusable as annual collisions climb into the thousands.

Modeling shows 1,500+ collisions per year possible within a century
esa.int

“A forza di lanciare satelliti, nel giro di 100 anni si rischiano oltre 1500 collisioni nello spazio ogni anno.”

andreabettini

European Space Agency (ESA) publisher of the Space Environment ReportESA Space Debris Office author of the annual report since 2017Commercial satellite operators / mega-constellations drivers of rising launch and payload volumes

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Peak 5 pieces in 3h at Sep 14, 5 AM; 10 pieces over 10 days (1 article · 9 posts) Sep 14, 5 AM — 5 pieces · 5 posts — Mastodon 4, Hacker News 1Sep 14, 8 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Bluesky 1Sep 14, 11 AM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Mastodon 2Sep 14, 2 PM — quietSep 14, 5 PM — quietSep 14, 8 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Sep 14, 11 PM — quietSep 15, 2 AM — quietSep 15, 5 AM — quietSep 15, 8 AM — quietSep 15, 11 AM — quietSep 15, 2 PM — quietSep 15, 5 PM — quietSep 15, 8 PM — quietSep 15, 11 PM — quietSep 16, 2 AM — quietSep 16, 5 AM — quietSep 16, 8 AM — quietSep 16, 11 AM — quietSep 16, 2 PM — quietSep 16, 5 PM — quietSep 16, 8 PM — quietSep 16, 11 PM — quietSep 17, 2 AM — quietSep 17, 5 AM — quietSep 17, 8 AM — quietSep 17, 11 AM — quietSep 17, 2 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 17, 5 PM — quietSep 17, 8 PM — quietSep 17, 11 PM — quietSep 18, 2 AM — quietSep 18, 5 AM — quietSep 18, 8 AM — quietSep 18, 11 AM — quietSep 18, 2 PM — quietSep 18, 5 PM — quietSep 18, 8 PM — quietSep 18, 11 PM — quietSep 19, 2 AM — quietSep 19, 5 AM — quietSep 19, 8 AM — quietSep 19, 11 AM — quietSep 19, 2 PM — quietSep 19, 5 PM — quietSep 19, 8 PM — quietSep 19, 11 PM — quietSep 20, 2 AM — quietSep 20, 5 AM — quietSep 20, 8 AM — quietSep 20, 11 AM — quietSep 20, 2 PM — quietSep 20, 5 PM — quietSep 20, 8 PM — quietSep 20, 11 PM — quietSep 21, 2 AM — quietSep 21, 5 AM — quietSep 21, 8 AM — quietSep 21, 11 AM — quietSep 21, 2 PM — quietSep 21, 5 PM — quietSep 21, 8 PM — quietSep 21, 11 PM — quietSep 22, 2 AM — quietSep 22, 5 AM — quietSep 22, 8 AM — quietSep 22, 11 AM — quietSep 22, 2 PM — quietSep 22, 5 PM — quietSep 22, 8 PM — quietSep 22, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 11 AM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 2 AM — quietToday, 5 AM — quiet 1–5
1–5Modeling shows 1,500+ collisions per year…
Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22now · 8:52 AM ET

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