Guardian interviews reveal split among European spy chiefs on threat timing
2 Sep 20 12:47 PM · 3d ago · 1 article · 4 posts · 3 sources · development 2 of 2
In separate Guardian interviews, Czech BIS chief Michal Koudelka said a limited incursion or false-flag operation is possible within "months, not years", while Latvia's VDD director Normunds Mežviets said there are no indications of an imminent attack, only signs Moscow is preparing for more decisive action.
“It’s possible. It could involve a limited incursion, false-flag provocations, a massive influence campaign”
Michal Koudelka
Donald Tusk Polish Prime Minister
Emmanuel Macron French PresidentMichal Koudelka Head of Czech Republic's BIS security serviceNormunds Mežviets Director general of Latvia's VDD security serviceJonatan Vseviov Secretary general of Estonia's foreign ministry
The whole story articlesposts the bright band is this development · numbered dots are the others · click one to jump
What was reported 2 claims about this development
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9 outlets Senior NATO commander warns Putin is becoming more cavalier and open to risk as Ukraine war drags on
first by PBS NewsHour, 13h ago · also Independent UK, Philadelphia Inquirer, Mercury News, Japan Today, AP News, ClickOnDetroit +2
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first by Mastodon, 3d ago · also Guardian
On air 2 segments · click to watch, arrow keys to move
What people said 24 voices · best of 26 · verbatim
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“But the Estonian leader said it’s currently ‘improbable,’ that Putin will launch a conventional military attack on Europe because of the threat of a NATO response and because his forces are tied down in Ukraine.”
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🇪🇺🇷🇺 European spy chiefs just raised the alarm: Russia may test NATO WITHIN MONTHS... Intelligence officials say Moscow is preparing more decisive action, including limited attacks, false-flag incidents, or drone and missile strikes designed to probe whether Article 5 is real or
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“European intelligence officials have raised the possibility of an imminent Russian test of Nato, with one saying a potential attack could come in a matter of “months, not years”.” —> Trump might ransom Greenland, and if he dies, Vance will leave us to rot. EU Army, rearmament, mobilisation, we need to prepare for ourselves! https://www…
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Nobody is warning of an EU takeover, they’re warning of increased attacks which is entirely feasible. They’ve already blown up a drone in Poland and ran a bunch of cyber attacks throughout the EU. Drones with explosives at Germany airports in the past weeks. It’ll be even more of that maybe at a larger scale.
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Well done analysis by @shaunwalker7.bsky.social from interviews with European intelligence chiefs. Reminder to our publics to trust our intelligence services rather than sensationalist social media influencers. www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s... via @theguardian.com
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🔴 BREAKING Baltic Intelligence Warns of Imminent Russian Test of NATO Article 5 European intelligence officials warn that Russia may launch a drone or missile attack on NATO territory within months to test the alliance's Article 5 commitment. Polish PM Donald Tusk confirmed intelligence assessments... 📰 https://www…
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Trump and the people behind him are going to make it clear we no longer live in a democracy in a couple months. That could completely upend things in the United States. If you’re an adversary of NATO then that’s exactly the time you would want to push NATO’s resolve. This shit is all interconnected.
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'Russian President Vladimir Putin is becoming “increasingly cavalier, dangerous and risk accepting,” as his war in Ukraine drags on and as he seeks to divide Western allies, NATO’s deputy commander in Europe said Tuesday.'
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Russia is intensifying sabotage and cyberattacks across Europe to undermine support for Ukraine, European ministers said while dismissing concerns that Moscow is capable of launching a direct assault on NATO. https://www. japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/09/ 24/world/europe-russian-sabotage-nato-attack/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon # worldnews…
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Well ya... The US is their pawn now. No way Trump will defend a nation he's currently threatening (Denmark btw). He wants out of NATO, so Europe is going to (probably) be on their own. And I hope everyone that bought equipment from the US removed those kill switches, no way they won't be used.
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"EUROPEAN SPY CHIEFS BRACE FOR RUSSIA TO TEST NATO PACT" @ShaunWalker7.bsky.social for @TheGuardian.com European intelligence chiefs warned Russia could test NATO with drones or missiles in coming months, after Poland's Donald Tusk raised the prospect. #TheGuardian #TomorrowsPapersToday
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"Baltic politicians, who for many years criticized W. Europe for being soft on Russia, now find themselves in the strange position of telling some Western leaders to calm down in their public messaging, fearing that talk of an imminent invasion could prove damaging to their societies & economies." https://www. theguardian.com/world/2026/sep…
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I suspect this really just means they're tired of using untrustworthy and mostly useless gangs to do middling sabotage and will just do it themselves directly with the view that we won't actually go to war because we're afraid of it.
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KYIV POST: Zelensky Warns Putin May Attack NATO Country to Distract From Heavy Losses at Home https://www. kyivpost.com/post/85180 Zelensky warned that Putin could escalate against NATO countries to distract from Russia’s battlefield failures, intimidate Europe and weaken Western support for Ukraine. # Ukraine # World # EasternEurope # Europe
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Might be wise to stop playing silly games in the South China sea and shore up home defence as we're not going to be able to protect these pipelines/cables. Tomorrow Never Dies and The World Is Not Enough in one fell swoop
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https://www. europesays.com/us/1079727/ Zelenskyy warns risk of Russian offensive against Europe is very high # NATO # News # Russia # Ukraine # UnitedNations # VolodymyrZelenskyy # World
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Putins had a lot of off ramps. He wont take them. Whatever force he uses must be wiped out quickly and publicly so the Russian people know what waits for them.
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https://www. europesays.com/3263287/ European intelligence services have warned of possible Russian actions against NATO within the next few months # Europa # Europe # NATO # OTAN
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When the children and family members of the elite russians living in western Europe starts vanishing to unknown locations....
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https://www. europesays.com/3262791/ Russia could test NATO in coming months, European intelligence chiefs warn # Europa # Europe # NATO # OTAN
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So perhaps an opportunity will finally arise for Russia to receive the thrashing it has deserved for centuries?
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European intelligence warns of a Russian attack on NATO in the near future — The Guardian https://www. byteseu.com/2385010/ # Europe # NATO
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If only we had some kind of international military organisation that could help stop this kind of thing....
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NATO deputy commander warns Putin is willing to take risks https://www. byteseu.com/2390651/ # Europe # NATO
All 2 developments of European spy chiefs: Russia readying bigger NATO test… →
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