Rio Times flags that 7.3M-life projection rests on unpublished, preliminary modeling

2 Sep 15 · 8d ago · 1 article · 1 source · development 2 of 3

Rio Times reported that Gavi's projections are based on preliminary modeling by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine that has not been published, peer-reviewed, or subjected to public methodological scrutiny. The Rio Times noted the model assumes 50% vaccine efficacy regardless of prior exposure and ten-year immunity waning; changing those assumptions would alter the final figure.