Scenario detailsCoordinated timing and Baltic targeting
1 Sep 17 5:24 PM · 7d ago · 1 post · 44 comments · 1 source · development 1 of 1
Rutte's warning outlined that Moscow and Beijing may coordinate the timing of attacks to force NATO to simultaneously respond to threats in Europe and the Indo-Pacific. The Baltic states were specifically mentioned among possible directions of a Russian strike.
“NATO is preparing for two large-scale wars at the same time: Russia could strike Europe, and China could strike Taiwan”
Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General · bluesky ↗
Mark Rutte NATO Secretary General
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❗️NATO is preparing for two large-scale wars at the same time: Russia could strike Europe, and China could strike Taiwan, NATO Secretary General Rutte said. 🟢Xi Jinping may ask Putin to distract NATO forces by attacking Europe while China launches an operation against Taiwan.
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🟢Moscow and Beijing may coordinate the timing of attacks, forcing NATO to simultaneously respond to threats in Europe and the Indo-Pacific region. 🟢Among the possible directions of a Russian strike, Rutte mentions the Baltic countries. This is a projected scenario, not confirmed attack plans.
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🤔 NATO has absolutely no commitment regarding TWN, even though it's a strategic location; this blurring of lines is becoming irritating What's the point of signed bilateral agreements if a guarantor fail to fulfill his obligations & only wants some benefits—TWN is set to invest $250 billion in US
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Given that the Americans have given them a once in generation chance, I feel like we’re much closer to this scenario than we think. Trump has truly fucked us, which may have been the plan all along.
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China is playing a clever game. Support Russia and keep NATO and Europe financially and resource occupied until they feel there is no significant repercussions or support for Taiwan 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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Just two? NATO should prepare also for the US to invade Greenland and/or Canada, and for North Korea to attack South Korea; all while Iran destroys all the oil infrastructure of the Gulf Arab states.
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Awwww they invest sooo much in renewable tech! They can’t be the baddies, right? RIGHT!?
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That's what I would do if I were him. He won't get a better opportunity. Imagine 2027 being worse than 2026. Fuck.
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Just keep buying those chiese cars, china needs to build up its war chest prior to war.
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The largest force in NATO is the U.S. which has Taiwan commitments.
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It's a realistic scenario, unfortunately. I doubt, that NATO is ready to face this challenge at the moment. -The US under the 🍊 moron's dictatorship are completely lost, have reduced their own weapons stock to a minimum in a stupid war. - Europe is too dependant on the US in general and is years
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The time is right. US weapon stockpiles are low, drones fill a gap for Russia and taking Taiwan cuts off semiconductors to make new weapons and drones in the US.
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This scenario would mean that the USA would be largely preoccupied in Asia and unable to fully engage in Europe, which is why it directly impacts NATO even though Taiwan, Japan, Philippines, Australia etc. are not NATO members. Rutte is right to warn of this overstretch scenario.
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Will China go kinetic on Taiwan though? It is more valuable as a productive and functioning resource, not as a country destroyed by war. A long term influence operation would be more productive in the long run.
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If Putin attacks Europe, he's a dead man and NATO would be at the Kremlin's gates within six days. I know that, Putin knows that, Xi Jinping knows that and anyone else who is paying attention knows that.
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NATO is dead under Trump Pütin's xesual släve. He also wants to suck up to Xi
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The intelligent world has absolutely no obligation regarding answering your disingenuous posts; this blurring of lines is becoming irritating. What's the point of being online if you're going to fail in discussing topics and only want to bait people into arguments— invest in self-reflection.
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Speculation but good to be prepared. Europe unlikely to help US in Taiwan. Just as likely that Xi will retake former Chinese lands in Manchuria which they regard as stolen from them by unfair treaties. A big war against the US would damage chinese exports and cause internal problems for Xi.
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"What's the point of signed bilateral agreements" Bingo. We've moved into a new phase - agreements are great unless force is more effective. Agreements are formalisations of extant power relations. And commitment or not, if TSMC is destroyed or captured by china, NATO cannot just watch.
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Prediction: If this actually happens, Trump does nothing. He won't respond to NATO Article 5 and he certainly won't help Taiwan. The big question is if Putin and Xi already know this because Trump told them.
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I've had enough of Rutte's incompetence. Looong ago. A guy who was picked because he could suck up to Tr*mp without shame is the guy you want in charge at a time like this? Do you want us to fail?
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Remember that the US military has for years justified part of their need for large funding because they needed to be ready to flight two wars at once. Doubt they could do one right now
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The connection is weak though: Trump won't help Europe against Russia in case of NATO Article 5 anyway and the other NATO-states have low or none military possibilities to help Taiwan.
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Last I checked Taiwan was not in the Atlantic or Mediterranean. This will be on Trumpy alone. And no, NATO has no relevance for Hormuz or any other shite as well.
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Bluesky