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Stanford study: Post-Paris emissions intensified Europe's recent heat waves by 0.3°C

Study quantifies warming: decade of emissions increased 2025 heat waves by 0.3°C

Using a generative AI diffusion model trained on 10 global climate models, researchers compared observed weather patterns from Europe's most intense annual heat waves (2016–2025) under current emissions and hypothetical 2015 emission levels, finding that recent emissions raised intensity by roughly one-third of a degree Celsius.

Study quantifies warming: decade of emissions increased 2025 heat waves by 0.3°C
Time

“That third of a degree might seem very small, maybe imperceptible to us walking around, but there's a large body of scientific literature that suggests that even small increments of temperature on a hot day can have these disproportionate impacts on the damages caused by those heat waves”

Jared Trok

Jared Trok Lead author, Stanford climate researcherStanford Doerr School of Sustainability Research institution

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What was reported 2 claims about this development

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  2. first by Time, 1d ago

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