Atlantic sets hurricane drought record as historic El Niño stifles development
No hurricanes have formed in the Atlantic basin despite the season's peak, marking the latest date in the satellite era without one.
What to know
- The Atlantic has produced no hurricanes as of September 10, 2026—its climatological peak—setting a new record for the latest date without one in the satellite era.
- A historic El Niño strengthening wind shear and Saharan dust across the Atlantic is suppressing hurricane formation, while the eastern Pacific remains unusually active with 13 named storms and five hurricanes already.
- NOAA expects the El Niño to peak in November or December as one of the strongest on record, potentially extending Atlantic suppression through the remainder of the season.
National Hurricane Center Official forecasterNational Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate monitoring agency
How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts
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Eastern Pacific hurricane season remains unusually active
Contrasting sharply with the Atlantic, the eastern Pacific has produced 13 named storms including five hurricanes, three of which were major—close to an entire average season's output. Major Hurricane Lowell recently impacted Hawaii with damaging winds, flooding rain, and high waves.
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We don’t see as many clickbait articles on one positive of El Niño, the quietest hurricane season on record in the Atlantic with no hurricane yet and none likely in the coming days, beating record of September 11th set in 2002 and 2013.
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New satellite-era record likely for latest date without Atlantic hurricane
With no indication of hurricane development in the next week, the Atlantic is set to establish a new record for the latest date in the satellite era (1960s onward) without an Atlantic hurricane forming.
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Historic El Niño expected to peak November or December — The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration confirms that El Niño is on track to be one of the strongest on record, expected to peak in November or December and exceed the strength of previous El Niño events dating back to 1950.
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Atlantic reaches climatological peak with no hurricanes formed — The Atlantic hurricane season reaches its average peak date with only five named tropical storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, and Edouard) recorded and no hurricanes formed. In an average season, there would have been eight named tropical storms and three hurricanes by this point.
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Saharan dust layer suppresses Atlantic storm development — Satellite imagery shows Saharan dust and sand transported thousands of miles across the Atlantic, creating a dry, dusty layer in the atmosphere that prevents storms from growing. This condition is expected to continue suppressing development for at least another week.
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National Hurricane Center forecasts quieter Atlantic season — The National Hurricane Center predicted eight to 14 named storms for the Atlantic season, with three to six becoming hurricanes, including one to three major hurricanes—below average due to anticipated El Niño effects.
Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet
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first by Newsweek, 13d ago · also Sky News
1 more headline
- Atlantic Ocean has seen no hurricanes so far this season - this is why Sky News · 13d ago
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first by BBC, 13d ago · also BBC Science
What people are saying 1 voices from 1 site · best of 2 · verbatim
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If a hurricane fails to form before Sept. 12, then 2026 will be the year with the latest first hurricane on record — if one forms at all. El Niño in the Pacific is playing a major role.