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ClimateQuiet 8d · day 14

Atlantic hurricane season sets record with zero hurricanes as historic El Niño suppresses storms

A historic El Niño has stifled tropical development in the Atlantic, breaking the satellite-era record for the latest date without a hurricane forming.

What to know

  • The Atlantic hurricane season is on track to set a satellite-era record for the latest date without forming a hurricane, despite reaching climatological peak this week.
  • A historic El Niño strengthening across the tropical Pacific is driving increased wind shear over the Atlantic, which tears apart thunderstorms and prevents hurricane development.
  • Only five named tropical storms have formed so far this season, versus eight typical by this point; the eastern Pacific has seen the activity displaced there, with 13 named storms including five hurricanes.

“The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration has said this El Niño will most likely be 'historic', exceeding the strength of previous El Niño events dating back to 1950.”

BBC Weather · BBC Weather ↗

National Hurricane Center seasonal forecasterNational Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) climate agencyBBC Weather weather reporting

Atlantic hurricane season sets record with zero hurricanes as historic El Niño suppresses storms
bbc.co.uk

How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage posts

Peak 14 pieces in 4h at Sep 12, 9 AM; 59 pieces over 14 days (33 articles · 26 posts) Sep 10, 9 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 1, Newswires 1Sep 10, 1 PM — quietSep 10, 5 PM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Mastodon 2Sep 10, 9 PM — quietSep 11, 1 AM — quietSep 11, 5 AM — quietSep 11, 9 AM — quietSep 11, 1 PM — quietSep 11, 5 PM — quietSep 11, 9 PM — quietSep 12, 1 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Sep 12, 5 AM — 7 pieces · 1 article · 6 posts — Mastodon 6, Newswires 1Sep 12, 9 AM — 14 pieces · 8 articles · 6 posts — Google News 5, Mastodon 5, Newswires 3, +1 moreSep 12, 1 PM — 7 pieces · 7 articles — Google News 5, Newswires 2Sep 12, 5 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 12, 9 PM — quietSep 13, 1 AM — quietSep 13, 5 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Sep 13, 9 AM — quietSep 13, 1 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 13, 5 PM — quietSep 13, 9 PM — quietSep 14, 1 AM — quietSep 14, 5 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 14, 9 AM — quietSep 14, 1 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Mastodon 1Sep 14, 5 PM — quietSep 14, 9 PM — quietSep 15, 1 AM — quietSep 15, 5 AM — 5 pieces · 3 articles · 2 posts — Mastodon 3, Newswires 2Sep 15, 9 AM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Newswires 2, Bluesky 1Sep 15, 1 PM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Bluesky 2Sep 15, 5 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Bluesky 1Sep 15, 9 PM — quietSep 16, 1 AM — quietSep 16, 5 AM — 8 pieces · 6 articles · 2 posts — Newswires 6, Bluesky 2Sep 16, 9 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Sep 16, 1 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 16, 5 PM — quietSep 16, 9 PM — quietSep 17, 1 AM — quietSep 17, 5 AM — quietSep 17, 9 AM — quietSep 17, 1 PM — quietSep 17, 5 PM — quietSep 17, 9 PM — quietSep 18, 1 AM — quietSep 18, 5 AM — quietSep 18, 9 AM — quietSep 18, 1 PM — quietSep 18, 5 PM — quietSep 18, 9 PM — quietSep 19, 1 AM — quietSep 19, 5 AM — quietSep 19, 9 AM — quietSep 19, 1 PM — quietSep 19, 5 PM — quietSep 19, 9 PM — quietSep 20, 1 AM — quietSep 20, 5 AM — quietSep 20, 9 AM — quietSep 20, 1 PM — quietSep 20, 5 PM — quietSep 20, 9 PM — quietSep 21, 1 AM — quietSep 21, 5 AM — quietSep 21, 9 AM — quietSep 21, 1 PM — quietSep 21, 5 PM — quietSep 21, 9 PM — quietSep 22, 1 AM — quietSep 22, 5 AM — quietSep 22, 9 AM — quietSep 22, 1 PM — quietSep 22, 5 PM — quietSep 22, 9 PM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 9 AM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 9 PM — quietToday, 1 AM — quietToday, 5 AM — quiet 1
Sep 11Sep 12Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22now · 6:47 AM ET
  1. 1

    Record set for latest date without Atlantic hurricane in satellite era

    A new record was set this week for the latest date in the satellite era (1960s onward) without an Atlantic hurricane forming. NOAA has indicated the El Niño will likely be 'historic,' exceeding the strength of previous events dating back to 1950 and expected to peak in November or December.

    “El Niño chops off the heads of hurricanes by altering global atmospheric circulation, generating strong upper-level westerly winds across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean.”
    — davidho@mastodon.world
    1. first by CTV News, 11d ago · also CBS News, PBS, Royal Gazette | Bermuda, Baltimore Banner, Japan Today, Hindustan Times +2

      6 more headlines
    2. first by nytimes.com, 11d ago · also Independent UK, Ars Science, Ars Technica, PennLive, CBS News, NYT Climate

      4 more headlines
    1 more claim →
    • pbsnews.org

      The Atlantic is quiet — record quiet — this hurricane season thanks to an enormous El Niño that crushes storms before they get going.

      pbsnews.orgBluesky11d ago67▲view on Bluesky ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 15 posts in this stretch
    • davidho@mastodon.world

      The way I explained the suppression of Atlantic hurricane activity to my students is that El Niño chops off the heads of hurricanes by altering global atmospheric circulation, generating strong upper-level westerly winds across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean. https://www. bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/cwy zq4538j3o

      davidho@mastodon.worldMastodon12d ago50▲view on Mastodon ↗
    • jonfr500.bsky.social

      Next summer is going to be real hot and real bad in Europe and worse in United States.

      jonfr500.bsky.socialBluesky8d ago1▲view on Bluesky ↗
    all of them →
  2. background

    Atlantic reaches climatological peak with zero hurricanes formed — The Atlantic hurricane season reached its climatological peak on September 10, but no hurricanes have formed. Only five named tropical storms have occurred (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, and Edouard), compared to an average of eight tropical storms and three hurricanes by this point.

  3. background

    Hurricane Lowell strikes Hawaii with major damage — Major hurricane Lowell hit Hawaii with damaging winds, flooding rain, and high waves. The eastern Pacific has been fairly active this season with 13 named storms including five hurricanes, three of which were major.

  4. background

    Saharan dust layer moves across Atlantic, further suppressing storm development — Satellite imagery captured a large dry, dusty layer in the atmosphere moving from Africa toward the US. The dust and sand, whipped up by Sahara winds, prevents storms from growing and is expected to suppress conditions for at least the next week.

  5. background

    National Hurricane Center forecasts below-average Atlantic season — The National Hurricane Center issued its seasonal forecast predicting eight to 14 named storms, three to six hurricanes, and one to three major hurricanes—a quieter than average season.

What people are saying 8 voices from 1 site · best of 15 · verbatim