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ClimateQuiet 12d · day 13

Canada 20+ years behind 2030 emissions target, net zero out of reach

New analysis shows Canada's current climate policies leave it on track to miss its 2030 goal by two decades and fall far short of net zero by 2050.

newest coverage 12d agosummary written 12d ago6 pieces3 likes & upvotes MastodonRedditGoogle News

What to know

  • Canada will miss its 2030 emissions target by over 20 years at current pace, with net zero by 2050 nowhere in sight.
  • Governments have rolled back climate policies including carbon pricing reforms, EV incentives, methane regulations, and an oil and gas emissions cap while fossil fuel production expands.
  • Existing climate policies are working—emissions would be 90+ megatonnes higher without them—but gains are being outweighed by policy reversals and carbon-intensive development.
  • Federal government has promised stronger measures on carbon pricing, EV sales targets, and grid expansion, but implementation details remain undefined.

Canadian Climate Institute Research organizationPrime Minister CarneyPrime Minister Carney Federal leaderNavius Research Research partner

Canada 20+ years behind 2030 emissions target, net zero out of reach
440megatonnes.ca

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump postscomments

Peak 2 pieces in 3h at Sep 11, 4 AM; 6 pieces over 13 days (2 articles · 2 posts · 2 comments) Sep 11, 1 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 11, 4 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 2Sep 11, 7 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Reddit 1Sep 11, 10 AM — quietSep 11, 1 PM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Reddit 1Sep 11, 4 PM — quietSep 11, 7 PM — quietSep 11, 10 PM — quietSep 12, 1 AM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Reddit 1Sep 12, 4 AM — quietSep 12, 7 AM — quietSep 12, 10 AM — quietSep 12, 1 PM — quietSep 12, 4 PM — quietSep 12, 7 PM — quietSep 12, 10 PM — quietSep 13, 1 AM — quietSep 13, 4 AM — quietSep 13, 7 AM — quietSep 13, 10 AM — quietSep 13, 1 PM — quietSep 13, 4 PM — quietSep 13, 7 PM — quietSep 13, 10 PM — quietSep 14, 1 AM — quietSep 14, 4 AM — quietSep 14, 7 AM — quietSep 14, 10 AM — quietSep 14, 1 PM — quietSep 14, 4 PM — quietSep 14, 7 PM — quietSep 14, 10 PM — quietSep 15, 1 AM — quietSep 15, 4 AM — quietSep 15, 7 AM — quietSep 15, 10 AM — quietSep 15, 1 PM — quietSep 15, 4 PM — quietSep 15, 7 PM — quietSep 15, 10 PM — quietSep 16, 1 AM — quietSep 16, 4 AM — quietSep 16, 7 AM — quietSep 16, 10 AM — quietSep 16, 1 PM — quietSep 16, 4 PM — quietSep 16, 7 PM — quietSep 16, 10 PM — quietSep 17, 1 AM — quietSep 17, 4 AM — quietSep 17, 7 AM — quietSep 17, 10 AM — quietSep 17, 1 PM — quietSep 17, 4 PM — quietSep 17, 7 PM — quietSep 17, 10 PM — quietSep 18, 1 AM — quietSep 18, 4 AM — quietSep 18, 7 AM — quietSep 18, 10 AM — quietSep 18, 1 PM — quietSep 18, 4 PM — quietSep 18, 7 PM — quietSep 18, 10 PM — quietSep 19, 1 AM — quietSep 19, 4 AM — quietSep 19, 7 AM — quietSep 19, 10 AM — quietSep 19, 1 PM — quietSep 19, 4 PM — quietSep 19, 7 PM — quietSep 19, 10 PM — quietSep 20, 1 AM — quietSep 20, 4 AM — quietSep 20, 7 AM — quietSep 20, 10 AM — quietSep 20, 1 PM — quietSep 20, 4 PM — quietSep 20, 7 PM — quietSep 20, 10 PM — quietSep 21, 1 AM — quietSep 21, 4 AM — quietSep 21, 7 AM — quietSep 21, 10 AM — quietSep 21, 1 PM — quietSep 21, 4 PM — quietSep 21, 7 PM — quietSep 21, 10 PM — quietSep 22, 1 AM — quietSep 22, 4 AM — quietSep 22, 7 AM — quietSep 22, 10 AM — quietSep 22, 1 PM — quietSep 22, 4 PM — quietSep 22, 7 PM — quietSep 22, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietToday, 1 AM — quietToday, 4 AM — quiet 1–2
Sep 12Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22now · 6:44 AM ET
  1. 1

    Federal government's promised measures remain undetailed and uncertain

    Prime Minister Carney has promised updates to carbon pricing standards, new EV regulations targeting 75 percent EV sales by 2035 and 90 percent by 2040, and a strategy to expand power grids and electrify the economy. However, final details and effectiveness of these measures remain to be determined.

    “At this rate, Canada would be lucky to hit its 2030 target in 2050—20 years behind schedule. That's an outcome we frankly can't afford.”
    — Canadian Climate Institute, Research organization · source

    • This has been true for decades, it's nothing new. https://www.readthemaple.com/revisiting-canadas-history-of-missed-climate-targets/ (November 12, 2021) Government of Canada Action Plan Met: No. Climate Change — Achieving Our Commitments Together Met: No. Kyoto Protocol Met: No. Project Green Met: No. Turning the Corner (And Additions) Met: Not…

      Nomorasr/worldnews12d agoview on r/worldnews ↗
    1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch

    • All over my FB recently. Gotta fucking Ben Shapiro post land on my feed talking about Charlie Kirk…I thought wtf and reported it as disturbing immediately.

      Actual_Ad_2801r/worldnews12d agoview on r/worldnews ↗
    all of them →
  2. background

    Report shows existing climate policies have prevented larger emissions increases — The analysis demonstrates that climate policies implemented since 2015 are working: without current policy measures, national emissions would be projected to be more than 90 megatonnes higher in 2030. This is equivalent to total emissions from passenger road, rail, and air travel within Canada today.

  3. background

    Analysis attributes emissions gap to rolled-back climate policies — The report identifies that governments across Canada have weakened industrial carbon pricing, delayed methane regulations, changed EV policy, and cancelled an oil and gas emissions cap. These rollbacks, combined with expanded oil and gas production and greater reliance on natural gas for electricity and heating, explain why projected emissions are higher than previously forecast.

  4. 2

    Canadian Climate Institute releases emissions gap analysis

    The 440 Megatonnes project, in partnership with Navius Research, finds Canada will miss its 2030 emissions target by more than 20 years under current policies. By 2040, national emissions are projected to be at least 202 megatonnes above net-zero-aligned levels; by 2050, 460 megatonnes higher than the legislated net zero target.

    1. 2 outlets Canada more than 20 years behind on reaching its 2030 emissions target, study suggests

      first by The Globe and Mail, 13d ago · also Canadian Climate Institute

      1 more headline
    • Snoro@mastodon.social

      # canada Canada is now more than 20 years behind its 2030 target, with net zero nowhere in sight The latest analysis from 440 Megatonnes shows that the country’s current climate policy package would leave emissions stubbornly high through mid-century https:// 440megatonnes.ca/insight/net-z ero-canada-more-than-20-years-behind-2030-target/ #…

      Snoro@mastodon.socialMastodon13d ago3▲view on Mastodon ↗

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