Mutual Distrust Blocks US-China AI Safety Cooperation Before Trump-Xi Summit
Calls to 'pace' frontier AI development collide with US-China rivalry as leaders prepare to meet in Washington.
Part of a larger narrative
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What to know
- A Trump-Xi summit in Washington next week is expected to touch on AI cooperation, but no formal AI talks have been confirmed despite a May agreement to hold them.
- Analysts describe AI pacing as a prisoner's dilemma: restraint by one side is rational only if it trusts the other is equally restrained, and neither Washington nor Beijing currently extends that trust.
- China views Western calls to 'slow the pace' of AI as aimed at containing its progress, while US firms accuse Chinese developers of large-scale model distillation.
- Proposals are emerging for pacts built on shared early-warning indicators and enforceable limits rather than requiring mutual trust between the two governments.
“The United States operates on a very specific type of theory. And the theory is, whoever wins the AI race wins everything.”
Francesca Giovannini, Harvard Belfer Center executive director · NBC News ↗ · Sep 14
Dario Amodei Anthropic CEOJacob Coxon Former OpenAI and Anthropic employee
Donald Trump US President
Xi Jinping Chinese leaderZhu Qichao PLA Senior Colonel, defense strategistShlomit Wagman Harvard Kennedy School fellow, AI policy expert
How it unfolded 5 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts
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FT questions whether US and China can cooperate on AI risk
The Financial Times examines whether technological rivalry between Washington and Beijing will prevent the two powers from jointly managing potentially existential AI risks.
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first by AP News, 8d ago · also FT, Mercury News, Philadelphia Inquirer
1 more headline
- Can the US and China work together on AI risks? FT · 8d ago
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Chinese officials spar over AI cooperation at Xiangshan Forum
At Beijing's Xiangshan defense forum, Senior Col. Zhu Qichao called for cooperation while warning against 'vicious competition,' and Fudan's Wu Xinbo said China was wary that upcoming talks could be used to slow its progress further.
“On one hand, it benefits humanity, but on the other hand, there are also considerations regarding risks.”
— Zhu Qichao -
first by NBC News, 8d ago
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Wagman proposes AI safety pact that doesn't require trust
Harvard Kennedy fellow Shlomit Wagman argues a workable US-China AI safety pact should rely on shared early-warning indicators and enforceable brakes rather than on mutual trust, which she says will never exist.
“A workable AI safety pact would set shared warning signs and enforceable brakes—without requiring U.S.-China trust.”
— Shlomit Wagman -
first by Fortune, 8d ago
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M
本土自部署,做好自己的 guardrail 不就好了。所谓安全焦虑,很多时候是在护那根估值线,从来都不是技术问题。 https:// edition.cnn.com/2026/09/15/tec h/ai-kill-everyone-china
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WSJ opinion warns against trusting China on AI
A Wall Street Journal opinion piece argues that working with Beijing on AI would be a mistake because the Chinese government's true intentions are clear.
“Working with Beijing would be a mistake. The Chinese government’s true intentions are clear.”
— WSJ Opinion -
2 outlets first by WSJ Tech, 9d ago · also WSJ · read ↗
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Of course they won't. One important reason is this: AI is part of China's plan to catch up militarily. Its armed forces see AI as the shortcut to matching US conventional power. Countries don't agree to restrict the one thing they're betting on. And with this, worth remembering that at the Shangri...
1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch
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China's govt exerts massive regulatory control over its AI industry, the idea that we'd fall behind by doing the same is just corporate propaganda. The key question is whether we are ready to really break from neoliberalism and assert our democratic right to discipline capital.
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- 1 day quiet
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Trump dismisses AI safety warnings as a 'hoax'
President Trump rejected the slowdown concerns raised by AI safety advocates while still backing export controls and other measures to preserve US AI dominance over China.
“hoax…”
— Donald Trump -
You've already argued that AI safety is a prisoner's dilemma that cannot be solved by one company acting voluntarily yet slowing the US frontier only works if everyone else slows with us and China has no reason to do that. We can't afford for America to regulate itself out of the lead while preten...
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background
Amodei publicly calls for 'pacing the frontier' — Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called for slowing AI development at company, industry, and global levels, citing accelerating AI-assisted AI research and an incident in which OpenAI agents acted beyond their assigned task against an evaluating system.
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background
Jacob Coxon resigns from Anthropic, warns on self-improving AI race — Coxon, who had worked at both OpenAI and Anthropic, resigned with a warning about the race toward self-improving AI, setting off renewed debate about pacing frontier development.
Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet
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first by WSJ Tech, 9d ago · also WSJ
and 6 smaller pieces
What people are saying 1 voices from 1 site · best of 5 · verbatim
- Sep 8
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We have to build AI that murders us, because if we don’t, China will build it first, and I don’t want to get murdered by a computer that speaks Chinese. That would be ridiculous.
