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PoliticsResurging · day 7

Raman opens double-digit poll lead over Bass in LA mayor's race

A new Berkeley IGS/LA Times survey puts Councilmember Nithya Raman ahead of Mayor Karen Bass 39%-28%, capping weeks of Bass allies voicing alarm.

newest coverage 10h agosummary written 10h ago10 pieces1 likes & upvotes NewswiresMastodon

What to know

  • A Berkeley IGS/L.A. Times poll released Sept. 23 shows Raman leading Bass 39% to 28%, with 33% of voters still undecided ahead of Nov. 3 mail-ballot elections starting Oct. 1.
  • Bass carries a 63% unfavorable rating and 56% of voters rate her wildfire response as poor or very poor; Raman leads by wide margins among voters under 50.
  • Bass's own allies have privately warned for weeks that momentum and union support have shifted to Raman, while her campaign maintains the race was always expected to be close.
  • The roughly 26% of primary voters who backed eliminated candidate Spencer Pratt remain largely undecided, making them a pivotal bloc both campaigns are courting.

“If the Bass team isn't targeting Pratt voters, especially in the San Fernando Valley, they're making a mistake of epic proportions.”

Matt Klink, Political strategist · California Post (via NY Post) ↗ · Sep 15

Karen BassKaren Bass Incumbent LA MayorNithya RamanNithya Raman LA City Councilmember, DSA-aligned challengerJulie Chavez Rodriguez Bass campaign chief strategistMark DiCamillo Director, Berkeley IGS PollSpencer PrattSpencer Pratt Eliminated primary candidate, former reality TV starMatt Klink Political strategist

Raman opens double-digit poll lead over Bass in LA mayor's race
Breitbart

How it unfolded 3 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

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Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21yesterdaynow · 11:21 PM ET
  1. 3

    Berkeley IGS/LA Times poll shows Raman leading by 11 points

    The poll of 2,150 likely voters found Raman favored by 39% to Bass's 28%, with 33% undecided; Raman dominated younger voters while Bass held a smaller edge among voters 65 and older, and 63% of voters viewed Bass unfavorably.

    “Raman clearly has the advantage. Her task is a little less onerous than Bass'.”
    — Mark DiCamillo, Berkeley IGS Poll director
    • KimPerales@toad.social

      The # Progressive leads in the LA mayoral race:⚡"The Berkeley IGS/LAT poll represented the strongest showing yet for Nithya Raman, who trailed Karen Bass in almost every poll during the primary campaign & placed second to Bass in the June 2 primary. Raman, 45,⚡dominated the 72-year-old Bass among younger voters, with 66% of likely voters ages 18…

      KimPerales@toad.socialMastodon12h ago1▲view on Mastodon ↗
  2. 3 days quiet
  3. 2

    Coverage frames Raman surge as a Mamdani-style upset bid

    Breitbart characterized Bass as showing signs of political trouble as Raman, running to her left, threatens an upset similar to other recent progressive challenger wins.

    1. 1 outlet Karen Bass in Trouble as Left-Wing Challenger Surges in Los Angeles Mayor’s Race

      first by Breitbart, 4d ago

  4. 1 day quiet
  5. 1

    Bass allies voice fear that Raman has momentum

    Unnamed Bass supporters told reporters they are increasingly worried after Raman secured backing from major unions including the Carpenters and Unite Here Local 11, while Bass's campaign insisted it always expected a close race.

    “I think you have to give Nithya the advantage. I really do. I think we could turn that around but the energy is with Nithya, and it's unfortunate.”
    — Unnamed Bass ally
    1. 1 outlet Karen Bass’s own allies fear she is floundering in LA mayor’s race: ‘energy is with Nithya’

      first by NY Post, 7d ago

  6. background

    Bass and Raman advance from crowded primary — Bass finished first with about 34% of the vote, Raman second with about 29%, and reality-TV figure Spencer Pratt third with about 26%, setting up a November runoff.

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. 3 outlets Raman opens wide lead over Bass in Los Angeles mayor's race, poll shows

    first by KTLA, 11h ago · also Los Angeles Times, The Hill

    2 more headlines

and 1 smaller piece