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SportsQuiet 3d · day 10

NFL betting flips after Week 2: unders dominate, favorites falter, Bucs crater Survivor

After Week 1's favorite-heavy script, Week 2 delivered upsets, low-scoring games, and thousands of busted Survivor entries.

What to know

  • NFL Week 2 betting patterns reversed sharply: unders won 10-6 (vs. 9-6-1 overs in Week 1), and favorites dropped to 8-8 ATS from dominance in the opening week.
  • Five underdogs won outright in Week 2, including the Browns over the heavily favored Buccaneers, reshaping both power rankings and survivor contests.
  • The Buccaneers' upset loss alone eliminated 6,061 Circa Survivor entries; combined with other favorites falling, only 8,464 of 25,017 original entries remained alive heading into Monday.
  • MVP and Super Bowl odds shifted notably: Josh Allen tightened to +250 after a 2-0 start, while Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels were taken off boards after Week 2 injuries.

Josh AllenJosh Allen Buffalo Bills quarterbackBrock PurdyBrock Purdy San Francisco 49ers quarterbackCaleb WilliamsCaleb Williams Chicago Bears quarterbackJayden DanielsJayden Daniels Washington Commanders quarterback

NFL betting flips after Week 2: unders dominate, favorites falter, Bucs crater Survivor
Yahoo Sports

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

Peak 3 pieces in 3h at Sep 19, 10 PM; 10 pieces over 10 days (8 articles · 2 posts) Sep 17, 4 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Sep 17, 7 PM — quietSep 17, 10 PM — quietSep 18, 1 AM — quietSep 18, 4 AM — quietSep 18, 7 AM — quietSep 18, 10 AM — quietSep 18, 1 PM — quietSep 18, 4 PM — quietSep 18, 7 PM — quietSep 18, 10 PM — quietSep 19, 1 AM — quietSep 19, 4 AM — quietSep 19, 7 AM — quietSep 19, 10 AM — quietSep 19, 1 PM — quietSep 19, 4 PM — quietSep 19, 7 PM — quietSep 19, 10 PM — 3 pieces · 1 article · 2 posts — Mastodon 3Sep 20, 1 AM — quietSep 20, 4 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Sep 20, 7 AM — quietSep 20, 10 AM — quietSep 20, 1 PM — quietSep 20, 4 PM — quietSep 20, 7 PM — quietSep 20, 10 PM — quietSep 21, 1 AM — quietSep 21, 4 AM — quietSep 21, 7 AM — quietSep 21, 10 AM — quietSep 21, 1 PM — quietSep 21, 4 PM — quietSep 21, 7 PM — quietSep 21, 10 PM — quietSep 22, 1 AM — quietSep 22, 4 AM — quietSep 22, 7 AM — quietSep 22, 10 AM — quietSep 22, 1 PM — quietSep 22, 4 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Sep 22, 7 PM — quietSep 22, 10 PM — quietSep 23, 1 AM — quietSep 23, 4 AM — quietSep 23, 7 AM — quietSep 23, 10 AM — quietSep 23, 1 PM — quietSep 23, 4 PM — quietSep 23, 7 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Sep 23, 10 PM — quietSep 24, 1 AM — quietSep 24, 4 AM — quietSep 24, 7 AM — quietSep 24, 10 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 1, Newswires 1Sep 24, 1 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Sep 24, 4 PM — quietSep 24, 7 PM — quietSep 24, 10 PM — quietSep 25, 1 AM — quietSep 25, 4 AM — quietSep 25, 7 AM — quietSep 25, 10 AM — quietSep 25, 1 PM — quietSep 25, 4 PM — quietSep 25, 7 PM — quietSep 25, 10 PM — quietSep 26, 1 AM — quietSep 26, 4 AM — quietSep 26, 7 AM — quietSep 26, 10 AM — quietSep 26, 1 PM — quietSep 26, 4 PM — quietSep 26, 7 PM — quietSep 26, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietToday, 1 AM — quiet 12
Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26now · 2:31 AM ET
  1. 2

    Super Bowl and MVP odds shift after Week 2 results

    The Chargers remained Super Bowl favorites at +650 despite losing to the Giants on Monday; the Bills moved to +750 after going 2-0. Josh Allen's MVP odds tightened from +350 to +250 after leading Buffalo to a 2-0 start with nine touchdowns and no turnovers. Brock Purdy jumped from 20/1 to +900 after San Francisco's 2-0 start. Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels were taken off the board entirely after suffering injuries in Week 2.

    “After favorites and overs dominated the opening week of the NFL season, the script flipped dramatically in Week 2, with outright upsets, low-scoring games and another brutal Sunday for Survivor players.”
    — NY Post · source
    1. 2 outlets first by NY Post, 5d ago · also Yahoo · read ↗

  2. background

    Buccaneers' Week 2 upset loss decimates Survivor pools — The Buccaneers, selected by 6,061 entries in the Circa Survivor contest, lost outright to the Browns as more than a touchdown favorite. Combined with losses by the Chargers (1,357 entries eliminated) and Ravens (835 entries), only 8,464 of the original 25,017 contest entries remained alive entering Monday night.

  3. 2 days quiet
  4. 1

    Week 2 betting analysis shows dramatic script flip

    After 791 combined points in Week 1, NFL offenses produced just 647 points in Week 2 (40.4 per game average). Unders finished 10-6; favorites cooled to 8-8 ATS. Five underdogs won outright, including the Browns over the favored Buccaneers, Saints over the Ravens, and Raiders over the Chargers.

    “Favorites and overs dominated Week 1. What should you expect this Sunday?”
    — The New York Times Athletic · source
  5. background

    NFL Week 1 closes with favorites, overs dominating — The opening week of the 2026 season saw favorites and overs win at elevated rates. Overs went 9-6-1, and several teams with historical trends (Bengals, Bears, Giants) won and covered despite being known slow starters. Houston's nine-game winning streak and seven-game home winning streak both ended against Buffalo.

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. first by Yahoo Sports, 10d ago · also The New York Times

    1 more headline

and 1 smaller piece