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ScienceQuiet 3d · day 7

North Korea's 2017 nuclear tests triggered 1,400+ earthquakes over years

Study finds five underground explosions at Punggye-ri activated dormant fault lines, with seismic activity continuing years after testing stopped.

What to know

  • North Korea's 2013-2017 nuclear tests at Punggye-ri triggered nearly 1,400 small earthquakes, with seismic activity continuing years after the last explosion.
  • The tests reactivated dormant fault lines and altered regional geology, including pathways toward a major volcano 100 km away at the China border, according to a joint Chinese-South Korean study published in Science.
  • Most recorded earthquakes were below magnitude 2.0—too small to be felt—sparking debate on Hacker News about whether distributed tiny quakes are preferable to a single major event.

The dispute Whether small induced earthquakes represent a material geological hazard or are negligible compared to the natural stress relief they may provide, and whether the focus on North Korea reflects genuine concern or political bias given similar earthquake-inducing activities in Western countries. · positions read across 19 posts and comments

many voices

Many small quakes are better than one large earthquake; the energy would be released anyway.

  • “The energy being released in these many tiny earthquakes was always going to exist in this location. Much better to release it slowly via thousands of tiny earthquakes than all at once.”

    margalabargala · Hacker News ↗
many voices

These earthquakes are too small to matter; the article sensationalizes magnitude-2 events.

  • “This article does a very poor job of differentiating earthquakes people feel and care about versus magnitude 2 quakes that are like your neighbor dropping a book upstairs.”

    elictronic · Hacker News ↗
some voices

Nuclear tests damaging fault lines creates real geological risk that could trigger larger events.

  • “If you have an anvil hanging over your head, the potential energy that would kill you already exists. Damaging the rope holding the anvil doesn't.”

    jjk166 · Hacker News ↗
some voices

Coverage selectively focuses on North Korean tests while ignoring similar earthquake-inducing activities by Western countries.

  • “There's a lot of people in this thread who see "North Korea" and "nuclear test" and get fired up but would otherwise shrug if it were instead, say, "Oklahoma" and "fracking".”

    BigTTYGothGF · Hacker News ↗

North Korea Conductor of nuclear testsChinese and South Korean researchers Study authors

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlespostscomments

Peak 9 pieces in two hours at Sep 17, 1 PM; 42 pieces over 7 days (16 articles · 8 posts · 18 comments) Sep 17, 1 PM — 9 pieces · 8 articles · 1 post — Google News 7, Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Sep 17, 3 PM — quietSep 17, 5 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 17, 7 PM — quietSep 17, 9 PM — quietSep 17, 11 PM — quietSep 18, 1 AM — quietSep 18, 3 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Newswires 2Sep 18, 5 AM — quietSep 18, 7 AM — quietSep 18, 9 AM — 9 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post · 6 comments — Hacker News 7, Newswires 2Sep 18, 11 AM — 8 pieces · 3 articles · 5 comments — Hacker News 5, Google News 3Sep 18, 1 PM — 4 pieces · 4 comments — Hacker News 4Sep 18, 3 PM — 3 pieces · 1 article · 1 post · 1 comment — Hacker News 1, Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Sep 18, 5 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 18, 7 PM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Hacker News 1, Reddit 1Sep 18, 9 PM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Hacker News 1Sep 18, 11 PM — quietSep 19, 1 AM — quietSep 19, 3 AM — quietSep 19, 5 AM — quietSep 19, 7 AM — quietSep 19, 9 AM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Hacker News 1Sep 19, 11 AM — quietSep 19, 1 PM — quietSep 19, 3 PM — quietSep 19, 5 PM — quietSep 19, 7 PM — quietSep 19, 9 PM — quietSep 19, 11 PM — quietSep 20, 1 AM — quietSep 20, 3 AM — quietSep 20, 5 AM — quietSep 20, 7 AM — quietSep 20, 9 AM — quietSep 20, 11 AM — quietSep 20, 1 PM — quietSep 20, 3 PM — quietSep 20, 5 PM — quietSep 20, 7 PM — quietSep 20, 9 PM — quietSep 20, 11 PM — quietSep 21, 1 AM — quietSep 21, 3 AM — quietSep 21, 5 AM — quietSep 21, 7 AM — quietSep 21, 9 AM — quietSep 21, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Hacker News 1Sep 21, 1 PM — quietSep 21, 3 PM — quietSep 21, 5 PM — quietSep 21, 7 PM — quietSep 21, 9 PM — quietSep 21, 11 PM — quietSep 22, 1 AM — quietSep 22, 3 AM — quietSep 22, 5 AM — quietSep 22, 7 AM — quietSep 22, 9 AM — quietSep 22, 11 AM — quietSep 22, 1 PM — quietSep 22, 3 PM — quietSep 22, 5 PM — quietSep 22, 7 PM — quietSep 22, 9 PM — quietSep 22, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 3 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 9 AM — quietYesterday, 11 AM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 3 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 9 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 1 AM — quiet 12
Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22yesterdaynow · 2:59 AM ET
  1. 2

    Science study gains wider attention on Hacker News

    The AAAS Science article reporting on the study reaches 142 points and 115 comments on Hacker News, sparking discussion about the magnitude of earthquakes, geological risk, and comparisons to induced seismicity from other human activities.

    “North Korea's underground nuclear tests have triggered a chain of seismic events, activating ancient fault lines that stretch towards one of the most dangerous volcanoes on Earth, about 100km (62 miles) away…”
    — SCMP/Science study reporting · source
    • This threw me into a rabbit hole for a bit. Apparently there is good evidence that a lot of historical earthquakes in california were due in part at least to the oil industry, which early on would not replace pumped out oil with water.Now a days they claim they replace the oil with water and all is well. However, as anyone who has owned an ancient…

      asdffHacker News5d agoview on Hacker News ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 19 posts in this stretch
    • AstroDave@scicomm.xyz

      Interesting. The nuke tests have stopped... but the earthquakes haven't - https://www. science.org/content/article/no rth-korean-nuclear-test-sets-years-earthquakes - Via Science.Org

      AstroDave@scicomm.xyzMastodon5d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    • There's a lot of people in this thread who see "North Korea" and "nuclear test" and get fired up but would otherwise shrug if it were instead, say, "Oklahoma" and "fracking".The supplemental information is available and says: > Our earthquake catalog consists primarily of small events with magnitudes of < 2.0 and there were 1399 of them.The cited…

      BigTTYGothGFHacker News5d agoview on Hacker News ↗
    all of them →
  2. 1

    Study documents 1,400 earthquakes linked to nuclear tests

    A joint Chinese and South Korean study published in Science documents nearly 1,400 earthquakes triggered by the five nuclear explosions, with most events measuring below magnitude 2.0. The study finds that the explosions fundamentally altered the region's geology and activated ancient fault lines stretching toward a dangerous volcano approximately 100 kilometers away at the China border.

    1. first by HN Best, 5d ago · also HN Frontpage, WION, India Today, NDTV

      5 more headlines
    2. first by SCMP, 5d ago · also SCMP China

    1 more claim →

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. first by Scientific American, 6d ago · also Gizmodo, Yahoo

    3 more headlines

and 1 smaller piece

What people are saying 16 voices from 1 site · best of 19 · verbatim

Still unanswered
  • How do researchers distinguish earthquakes triggered by the tests from natural background seismicity, especially given the long delay?
  • Could the distributed earthquakes actually relieve pressure that would otherwise accumulate into a catastrophic event?
  • What is the actual risk to the nearby volcano, and how likely is a major eruption or earthquake as a result?