Volkswagen slashes 2026 profit outlook as Porsche writedown, China slump bite
A €10 billion charge, mostly tied to a struggling Porsche, forces VW to cut margin guidance to as little as 1%.
What to know
- VW cut its 2026 operating margin guidance to as low as 1%, down from a prior 4%-5.5% target, and lowered revenue guidance to about €315 billion.
- About €6 billion of the roughly €10 billion in one-off charges stem from a writedown on VW's 75.4% stake in Porsche, hit by US tariffs and a collapse in Chinese luxury demand.
- The warning follows VW's early-September restructuring deal doubling planned job cuts to 100,000 and halving its model lineup.
- VW and Porsche shares fell sharply on the announcement and continued sliding into the following week.
“further deterioration in the market environment, especially in China, as well as an accelerated shift in demand in favour of battery-electric vehicles”
Volkswagen, Company statement · Reuters (via Investing.com) ↗ · Sep 17
Volkswagen AG World's second-largest automakerArno Antlitz Volkswagen finance chief (CFO)Porsche AG VW sports car division, 75.4% owned by VWPorsche SE Volkswagen's top shareholder
How it unfolded 6 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts
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6
Social commentary highlights Porsche's reversal of fortune
Online commentary noted Porsche's shift from being Volkswagen's most valuable brand to the source of a €6 billion writedown and the main driver of the group's cut margin forecast.
“Porsche has gone from Volkswagen's crown jewel to the thing dragging the whole group down.”
— @MarioNawfal -
🇩🇪 Porsche has gone from Volkswagen’s crown jewel to the thing dragging the whole group down. VW just cut its 2026 margin forecast to 1% at best, largely because of Porsche, and took a €6 billion writedown on its 75% stake in the brand. Porsche has been hammered by its retreat
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5
Analysts say Porsche has lost its shine within VW group
Commentary framed Porsche, once VW's most profitable brand, as the primary drag on group results after the writedown and margin cut.
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first by Seeking Alpha, 5d ago
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4
VW and Porsche shares extend losses
Shares in Volkswagen and Porsche continued to slide into the following week as investors kept reacting to the profit warning.
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2 outlets first by Investing.com News, 5d ago · also Seeking Alpha · read ↗
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- 2 days quiet
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Coverage ties warning to China, BEV shift and tariffs
Reports detailed that the charges reflect a 20% contraction in China's auto market, US tariffs hitting Porsche, Asian rivals gaining share in Europe, and a shift toward lower-margin electric vehicles hurting Audi and VW passenger brands.
“We have no time to lose…”
— Arno Antlitz -
2
VW and Porsche stock drop on the warning
Volkswagen shares closed down 5.6%, Porsche AG fell 3.3%, and top shareholder Porsche SE dropped 4.9% after the profit warning was announced.
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C
(Reuters) - German carmakers Volkswagen and Porsche Holding cut their outlook on Friday, citing a challenging market environment. @reuters.com
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1
Volkswagen cuts 2026 profit and revenue guidance
VW said it now expects an operating margin of up to 1% in 2026, down from a prior 4%-5.5% target, and cut its revenue forecast to about €315 billion from €321.9 billion, citing roughly €10 billion in one-time charges, about €6 billion of which stem from revised assumptions for Porsche.
“There is no sign of consolidation … We cannot escape this trend.”
— Arno Antlitz -
2 outlets first by Yahoo Finance, 7d ago · also Quartz · read ↗
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first by Yahoo Finance, 5d ago
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background
VW supervisory board approves record restructuring — Volkswagen's supervisory board signed off on doubling planned workforce reductions to 100,000 positions and cutting its model lineup in half, described as the company's biggest-ever restructuring.