Exxon raises 2050 emissions forecast, warns slower coal decline will blow past climate targets
Exxon's updated Global Outlook projects higher 2050 emissions as coal use falls more slowly than expected, implying 2.5-3°C of warming.
What to know
- Exxon's updated 2050 global emissions forecast is higher than prior estimates, driven by a slower projected decline in coal use.
- Exxon's own figures imply global warming of 2.5 to 3 degrees Celsius, above the Paris Agreement's targets.
- Climate commentators online frame the company's data as a self-acknowledgment that current trends will miss climate goals.
Exxon Mobil Oil and gas company publishing the forecastGerald Kutney Climate commentator on Mastodon
How it unfolded 3 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts
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Coverage reiterates Exxon's warning on coal and climate targets
Seeking Alpha republishes the finding that Exxon warns continued coal use will push global emissions levels past agreed climate targets.
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1 outlet first by Seeking Alpha, 4d ago · read ↗
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Critics say Exxon's own data implies 2.5-3°C warming
A climate commentator highlights that Exxon's forecasted 2050 emissions level corresponds to global temperature rises of 2.5 to 3 degrees Celsius, framing it as an admission from the company.
“Exxon: "level of emissions in 2050 implies global temperatures could rise between 2.5 and 3 degrees Celsius." Exxon knew ... Exxon knows!”
— GeraldKutney -
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Exxon: "level of emissions in 2050 implies global temperatures could rise between 2.5 and 3 degrees Celsius." Exxon knew ... Exxon knows! https://www. reuters.com/business/energy/ex xon-raises-2050-global-emissions-forecast-sees-slower-coal-decline-2026-09-17/ # ClimateBrawl
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Climate commentators call the outlook a 'sobering read'
Social media users circulate the Reuters coverage of Exxon's forecast, describing the company's own projections as alarming.
“Quite a sobering read here. What Exxon themselves are forecasting.”
— pvonhellermannn -
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# ClimateDiary Quite a sobering read here. What Exxon themselves are forecasting. https://www. reuters.com/business/energy/ex xon-raises-2050-global-emissions-forecast-sees-slower-coal-decline-2026-09-17/
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background
Exxon raises its 2050 global emissions forecast — Exxon Mobil publishes an updated global energy outlook projecting higher emissions in 2050 than previously forecast, attributing the increase to a slower global decline in coal use.