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SportsActive today · day 4

Jaguars remain home favorites over Patriots for Week 3 despite Broncos loss

FanDuel and DraftKings both install Jacksonville as the pick for Sept. 27 even as New England enters healthier off a 20-3 win over Pittsburgh.

newest coverage 35m agosummary written 2d ago9 pieces1 likes & upvotes NewswiresMastodon

What to know

  • Both teams enter Week 3 at 1-1: Patriots beat Steelers 20-3, Jaguars lost 20-13 to the Broncos.
  • Sportsbooks (FanDuel, DraftKings) favor Jacksonville despite New England's more recent win, largely due to home-field advantage at EverBank Stadium.
  • Dimers' simulation model gives the Patriots just a 39.3% chance to win and recommends betting the Jaguars moneyline.
  • New England enters shorthanded, missing A.J. Brown (ankle) and possibly losing guard Michael Onwenu to a season-ending injury.

Trevor LawrenceTrevor Lawrence Jaguars quarterbackDrake MayeDrake Maye Patriots quarterbackLiam Coen Jaguars head coachMichael Onwenu Patriots guard

Jaguars remain home favorites over Patriots for Week 3 despite Broncos loss
Yahoo Sports

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

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Sep 21Sep 22yesterdaynow · 11:48 AM ET
  1. background

    Report attributes Jaguars' favorite status to home field — A follow-up report noted FanDuel still lists New England as an underdog despite its Week 2 win, tying Jacksonville's edge mainly to home-field advantage rather than recent form.

  2. 2

    Dimers model gives Patriots only 39.3% win chance

    DraftKings listed New England at +3, and Dimers' 10,000-simulation model gave the Patriots a 39.3% win probability, with the total set at 45.5 and a recommended bet on Jaguars moneyline (-155).

    “Sources: #Patriots G Mike Onwenu is feared to have suffered a season-ending leg injury during today’s win over the #Steelers . Absolutely devastating loss up front for New England.”
    — Embedded post cited by MassLive, social media report on Patriots injury · source
    • jacksonvillejaguars@channels.im

      Patriots vs. Jaguars odds: Opening lines for Week 3 matchup The New England Patriots got their first entry in the win column on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers,… # NFL # JacksonvilleJaguars # Jacksonville # Jaguars # Football # new -england-patriots-odds

      jacksonvillejaguars@channels.imMastodon2d ago1▲view on Mastodon ↗
  3. 1

    FanDuel opens Jaguars as 2.5-point favorites

    FanDuel Sportsbook set Jacksonville as 2.5-point favorites over New England for the Sept. 27 game, with the total posted at 44.5 points.

  4. background

    Patriots guard Onwenu feared to have season-ending injury — Reports surfaced that Patriots guard Michael Onwenu suffered a potential season-ending leg injury during the win over Pittsburgh, compounding New England's absence of receiver A.J. Brown (ankle).

  5. background

    Patriots beat Steelers 20-3; Jaguars fall to Broncos 20-13 — New England defeated Pittsburgh 20-3 in Week 2 behind a strong defensive effort, while Jacksonville lost 20-13 to Denver after allowing 17 unanswered second-half points, leaving both teams 1-1 entering Week 3.

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. 2 outlets Announcers revealed for Jaguars Week 3 matchup vs. Patriots

    first by Yahoo Sports, 2d ago · also Sports Illustrated

    4 more headlines

and 3 smaller pieces