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WorldQuiet 34h · day 5

Middle powers hedge against Trump-driven disorder ahead of UN summit

As world leaders gather for the UN General Assembly, analysts describe a widening web of alliances built to shield countries from an unpredictable US president.

What to know

  • Analysis piece by Guardian diplomatic editor Patrick Wintour tied to the opening of the UN General Assembly, where Guterres is attending his final session as secretary general.
  • Argues that fear of US unpredictability under Trump is driving 'hedging alliances' among middle powers, often benefiting China (via BRICS, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation).
  • Predicts Trump will intensify disruptive foreign policy after the November midterms even if Congress blocks domestic initiatives.
  • Evidence base is a single republished article with no substantive independent discussion or comments across the tracked platforms.

“Thank you for your attention to this matter”

Donald Trump, US President · The Guardian (quoting Trump's Truth Social sign-off) ↗ · Sep 20

Donald TrumpDonald Trump US PresidentAntónio GuterresAntónio Guterres UN Secretary-GeneralMark CarneyMark Carney Canadian Prime MinisterMark Leonard Director, European Council on Foreign RelationsJohn Bew Foreign policy adviser to four former UK PMsHillary ClintonHillary Clinton Former US Secretary of StateDavid LammyDavid Lammy Former UK Foreign Secretary

Middle powers hedge against Trump-driven disorder ahead of UN summit
theguardian.com

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

Peak 4 pieces in two hours at Sep 20, 11 PM; 8 pieces over 5 days (3 articles · 5 posts) Sep 20, 11 PM — 4 pieces · 2 articles · 2 posts — Mastodon 2, Reddit 1, Newswires 1Sep 21, 1 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 21, 3 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 21, 5 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 21, 7 AM — quietSep 21, 9 AM — quietSep 21, 11 AM — quietSep 21, 1 PM — quietSep 21, 3 PM — quietSep 21, 5 PM — quietSep 21, 7 PM — quietSep 21, 9 PM — quietSep 21, 11 PM — quietSep 22, 1 AM — quietSep 22, 3 AM — quietSep 22, 5 AM — quietSep 22, 7 AM — quietSep 22, 9 AM — quietSep 22, 11 AM — quietSep 22, 1 PM — quietSep 22, 3 PM — quietSep 22, 5 PM — quietSep 22, 7 PM — quietSep 22, 9 PM — quietSep 22, 11 PM — quietSep 23, 1 AM — quietSep 23, 3 AM — quietSep 23, 5 AM — quietSep 23, 7 AM — quietSep 23, 9 AM — quietSep 23, 11 AM — quietSep 23, 1 PM — quietSep 23, 3 PM — quietSep 23, 5 PM — quietSep 23, 7 PM — quietSep 23, 9 PM — quietSep 23, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 3 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Yesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 9 AM — quietYesterday, 11 AM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 3 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 9 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 1 AM — quietToday, 3 AM — quietToday, 5 AM — quietToday, 7 AM — quietToday, 9 AM — quietToday, 11 AM — quietToday, 1 PM — quietToday, 3 PM — quiet 1–2
Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23yesterdaynow · 4:53 PM ET
  1. background

    UN General Assembly convenes as Guterres attends final session — World leaders prepare for the annual UN gathering, with secretary general António Guterres attending his final general assembly, amid expectations that his appeals for US cooperation with allies will be rebuffed.

  2. 2

    Article recirculates across social platforms

    The Guardian piece was reposted on Mastodon and Reddit shortly after publication, with no substantive discussion attached.

    • fonecokid@c.im

      # News # World # SaneChoices https://www. theguardian.com/us-news/2026/s ep/21/us-allies-donald-trump-world-un-global-order

      fonecokid@c.imMastodon4d agoview on Mastodon ↗
  3. 1

    Wintour reports middle powers building alliances to hedge against Trump

    Guardian diplomatic editor Patrick Wintour writes that countries are forming diplomatic, military and trading alliances as protective shields against an unpredictable US president, a shift that often favors China, citing analysts Mark Leonard and John Bew.

    “The world is moving from a situation where countries saw themselves within the context of an alliance system … towards one where the primary goal is: 'How do we hedge and how do we make sure that we can defend ourselves if America isn't there?'”
    — Mark Leonard
    1. first by The Guardian, 1d ago · also Guardian US

  4. background

    Bew describes emergence of a 'sub-threshold international order' — John Bew, a foreign policy adviser to four former British prime ministers, frames the proliferation of hedging alliances as the creation of a new order operating below the level of formal US-led structures.

  5. background

    Carney urges middle powers to reorganize at Davos — Canadian prime minister Mark Carney called on middle powers to reorganize their alliances in a speech at Davos, an early marker of the hedging trend described in the analysis.