Study: children born in Europe today face nearly double the extreme fire weather of grandparents
New research finds under current climate policies, a child born in Europe in 2025 will endure three more years of extreme fire weather than someone born in 1950.
What to know
- A child born in Europe in 2025 will face 84% more extreme fire weather over their lifetime than one born in 1950 under current climate policies, an increase of over three years.
- 86% of the increase is attributed to climate change rather than people simply living longer.
- Spain and the wider Mediterranean face the steepest rises; Spanish-born 2025 children could see 7.3 years of extreme fire weather, 3.8 more than the 1950 generation.
- Limiting warming to 1.5C instead of following current-policy trajectories (2.6C) would cut children's lifetime exposure by 1.3 years, researchers say.
Rosa Pietroiusti Lead study author, climate researcherRaúl Cordero Climate scientist, University of Groningen
How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts
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Outside climate scientist calls findings an intergenerational injustice
Raúl Cordero of the University of Groningen, who was not involved in the study, said it underscored the unequal burden climate change places on younger generations, citing record-breaking fires in Belgium and western Germany this summer that forced his relatives to flee.
“An unstoppable fire engulfing a town? This kind of emergency would have been unthinkable for Germans of older generations.”
— Raúl Cordero -
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Children born today could face up to twice as much fire-prone weather over their lifetimes as their grandparents, with southern Europe particularly exposed.
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Researchers say limiting warming to 1.5C would cut exposure
The study modelled 21 warming scenarios from 1.5C to 3.5C by century's end; under current policies warming reaches 2.6C, but capping warming at 1.5C would spare children born in 2025 from 1.3 years of the extreme fire weather they would otherwise face.
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first by Anadolu Agency, 2d ago
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1 outlet Born into a burning Europe: How extreme fire weather will worsen for children and how to stop it
first by Euronews, 2d ago
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background
Spain and Mediterranean projected to see steepest increases — A related analysis by Vrije Universiteit Brussel and the University of Murcia finds people born in Spain in 2025 will endure 7.3 years of extreme fire weather over their lifetimes, 3.8 years more than those born in 1950, with the Mediterranean region seeing the fastest rise; generation Beta there faces five more years of exposure than boomers.
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background
Study finds children face 84% more extreme fire weather than grandparents — Researchers combined demographic data with global climate model outputs to calculate lifetime exposure to extreme fire weather, finding a child born in Europe in 2025 will face three more years of such conditions than someone born in 1950 under current policies, an 84% increase, 86% of it attributable to climate change.
Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet
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first by Phys.org, 2d ago · also Time, Guardian
and 1 smaller piece