Diesel hits record highs as Middle East and Ukraine wars choke refineries
Global refining capacity constraints, not crude shortages alone, drive fuel prices to historic levels across U.S. and Europe.
What to know
- Diesel prices hit record highs—$6.52/gallon in the U.S., €2.41/liter in France—driven by Middle East and Ukraine wars damaging refineries and disrupting shipping.
- The core crisis is global refining capacity, not crude scarcity: existing refineries run at 97% capacity in the U.S., with little spare capacity easily activated.
- Even if wars end, prices will remain elevated for months as refineries are repaired, inventories rebuilt, and normal trade restored.
- Consumers will face higher costs across the economy as transportation, agriculture, and supply chains dependent on diesel pass increased expenses downstream.
“Technically, there is some unused capacity on paper, but very little that can be activated quickly and supplied with the right crude.”
Janiv Shah, Vice president, Rystad Energy · Dawn ↗
Paul Krugman EconomistKenneth Gillingham Yale environmental and energy economics professorJaniv Shah Vice president, Rystad EnergyToril Bosoni Head of International Energy Agency oil industry divisionGregory DeYong Southern Illinois University supply chain management professor
How it unfolded 3 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts
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Price relief unlikely to arrive quickly even if wars end
Experts note that repairing and building refineries takes several months to years. U.S. refineries were running at 97% capacity as of Sept. 11; resolving the crisis requires not just an end to conflicts but also inventory rebuilding and restoration of normal trade flows.
“It will still take some time for prices to come back down, simply because inventories will have to be rebuilt, refineries will have to be put back up and running, and the standard flow of trade would have to be reestablished.”
— Kenneth Gillingham -
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Experts warn consumers will bear brunt of rising diesel costs
PBS reporting details how the U.S. war in Iran and Russia's war in Ukraine have triggered record diesel prices, with experts forecasting higher costs across consumer goods and transportation. Russia, the third-largest refined oil producer globally, saw refinery throughput drop to 20-year lows in June after Ukrainian strikes.
“Diesel is the fuel that moves the economy.”
— Patrick De Haan -
first by PBS NewsHour, 2d ago · also PBS
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Global refining crisis identified as driver of diesel surge
Reporting shows diesel and fuel prices hitting fresh highs not primarily due to crude scarcity but because wars have damaged refineries, creating capacity constraints. French officials estimate the global market is missing 10 million barrels of crude per day out of 105 million consumed daily. Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman identifies the crisis as one in petroleum products, not petroleum itself.
“The current world energy crisis, then, is largely a crisis in petroleum products, refined from crude oil, rather than in petroleum itself.”
— Paul Krugman -
first by Dawn, 4d ago
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background
Diesel reaches record prices in U.S. and Europe — U.S. diesel averages $6.52 per gallon according to AAA; French diesel hits €2.41 per liter (approximately $10.40 per gallon). Both are record highs, reflecting global refining constraints caused by Middle East and Ukraine conflicts.