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Houthis exploit Western hesitation in Red Sea, analysis finds

Analysis argues the Houthis are escalating unchecked because coordinated defense efforts are slower than the group's ability to strike.

What to know

  • Houthis are escalating attacks on Red Sea shipping and Saudi infrastructure without facing coordinated international response, according to Examiner opinion piece.
  • A new Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani defense pact exists but members have not announced immediate military action; European naval responses are still being organized.
  • Analyst argues Western hesitation is enabling the group to rearm and test alliances, potentially making future conflict costlier than acting now.

“Is the current combination of U.S. restraint, an untested Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani defense pact, and delayed European military involvement leading the Houthis to believe they can keep escalating without paying a sufficiently high price?”

Pedro Ordein, Opinion analyst · Washington Examiner ↗ · Sep 21

Houthis Armed group attacking Red Sea shippingSaudi Arabia Regional target and defense pact memberUnited States World power with restraint postureIran Backer of HouthisPedro Ordein Opinion analyst

Houthis exploit Western hesitation in Red Sea, analysis finds
washingtonexaminer.com

How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articles

Peak 1 piece in one hour at Sep 22, 6 AM; 2 pieces over 43 hours (2 articles) Sep 22, 6 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Sep 22, 7 AM — quietSep 22, 8 AM — quietSep 22, 9 AM — quietSep 22, 10 AM — quietSep 22, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Sep 22, 12 PM — quietSep 22, 1 PM — quietSep 22, 2 PM — quietSep 22, 3 PM — quietSep 22, 4 PM — quietSep 22, 5 PM — quietSep 22, 6 PM — quietSep 22, 7 PM — quietSep 22, 8 PM — quietSep 22, 9 PM — quietSep 22, 10 PM — quietSep 22, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 12 AM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 3 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 6 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 9 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 11 AM — quietYesterday, 12 PM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 3 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 6 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 9 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — quiet 1
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  1. 1

    Ordein warns that restraint today may increase future costs

    Ordein argues that the hesitation of Western powers and their allies is giving the Houthis time to rearm, consolidate territory, and test alliances, and that avoiding escalation now may increase the cost of preventing it later.

    “It is that restraint begins functioning as time — time to rearm, consolidate territory, test alliances, and prepare for the next round.”
    — Pedro Ordein
  2. background

    Ordein argues Houthis are exploiting Western coordination delays — Pedro Ordein publishes analysis in Washington Examiner contending that the Houthis may be discovering Western hesitation is more valuable than advanced weapons. He argues the combination of U.S. restraint, an untested Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani defense pact, and delayed European involvement is enabling the Houthis to escalate without facing sufficient consequences.