Trump announces potash deal with Belarus, but supply and logistics prove impossible
The president claims a major fertilizer agreement to undercut Canadian imports, but Belarus lacks spare capacity and faces EU sanctions blocking exports.
What to know
- Trump claims a major potash deal with Belarus to undercut Canadian imports amid his declared trade war on Canada, which supplies 80% of U.S. potash needs.
- Belarus's leader says the country has zero spare capacity—all potash is already contracted—and logistics are unfeasible: Belarus is landlocked and under EU sanctions over human rights abuses and Russia complicity.
- The plan exposes Trump's approach to economic policy: rejecting mutual trade benefits and attempting direct control of supply chains, regardless of feasibility or geopolitical constraints.
Trump's potash strategy is unrealistic and reflects a broader ideological hostility to international trade cooperation.
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“Running a command economy is the mark of a Communist state. Just sayin'.”
Seilenos · Mastodon ↗
“It was a war, but it's perhaps the biggest deal ever made. To the victor belong the spoils. We will use our unmatched military might to secure the vital national interests of the United States.”
Donald Trump, U.S. President · The Bulwark (UN General Assembly speech) ↗
Donald Trump U.S. President
Alexander Lukashenko President of Belarus
How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articlesposts
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Bulwark details logistical impossibility of Belarus potash exports
Analysis identifies two core barriers to Trump's plan: Belarus has no spare supply, and the country is landlocked and under EU sanctions for human rights abuses and complicity in Russia's Ukraine invasion. Shipping potash to the U.S. would require EU authorization to breach sanctions.
“The United States is working on a massive Deal with respect to the purchase of Potash from Belarus. The pricing would be for substantially less than we are currently paying to Canada, very good news for our Farmers and Ranchers.”
— Donald Trump, U.S. President · source -
1 outlet We Watched Six Hours of Trump TV
first by The Bulwark, 15h ago
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"The potash trade is just one example, but Trump has been trying hard to run the whole economy this way—even before he really got himself into trouble in Iran. Any supply chain he can’t take personal credit for standing up is hateful to him." I'm pretty sure that running a command economy is the mark of a Communist state. Just sayin'. https://www…
2 more of the top 3 · 6 posts in this stretch
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True Dems can obviously just keep doing what they did last time, it worked so well right? I mean, a pedophile rapist conman lied his way into winning a second admin, but thats just a coincidence.
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"As Lincoln himself said, in another context, 'Our progress in degeneracy appears to me to be pretty rapid.'" He could have just as easily been talking about our current moment.
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background
Lukashenko denies Belarus has spare potash capacity — Belarus's authoritarian leader said Monday that even if Belarus wanted to supply potash to Western markets, it cannot—all production is already contracted for the year.
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background
Trump declares trade war on Canada over potash — As context for the Belarus deal, Trump initiated tariff threats against Canada, arguing that if the U.S. imports more from a country than it exports, that country is exploiting America. This threatens the potash supply chain: the U.S. imports nearly 8 million tons annually from Canada (80 percent of domestic consumption).
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background
Trump announces Belarus potash deal on Truth Social — Trump posted that the U.S. is working on a deal to purchase potash from Belarus at substantially lower prices than current Canadian imports, framing it as beneficial for American farmers and ranchers.
What people are saying 3 voices from 1 site · best of 6 · verbatim
- Today
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Hmm https://www. thebulwark.com/p/we-watched-si x-hours-of-trump-tv-canada-potash-belarus # Mindfulness # ContextAndPerspective # TrumpVirus # war # TrumpEpsteinFiles
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"The Greeks would have warned that going on endlessly and vaingloriously about American power and greatness is asking for trouble."
- Yesterday
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"Any supply chain he can’t take personal credit for standing up is hateful to him." Trump's grudges know no bounds.