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PoliticsFading · day 2

Diesel price spike from Iran shutdown rattles GOP in farm states

Gas prices near $4.50 a gallon and a new Marist poll showing Iowa's Senate race tilting Democratic are stoking Republican anxiety ahead of the midterms.

newest coverage 4h agosummary written 3h ago6 pieces66 likes & upvotes13 comments NewswiresGoogle NewsHacker News

What to know

  • Gas prices have spiked to nearly $4.50/gallon after Iran's effective shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, with Michigan (+55%), Wisconsin (+53%) and Iowa (+48%) seeing the biggest year-over-year jumps.
  • A new Marist poll shows Democrat Josh Turek leading Iowa's Senate race by 8 points, far ahead of Silver Bulletin's own 1.9-point forecast, in a state Trump won by 13 points in 2024.
  • Republican officials including Sen. Chuck Grassley and Senate candidate Ashley Hinson are publicly pressing for relief on fuel costs, even as Hinson has voted against resolutions to end the Iran conflict driving the price spike.
  • Analysts note the Democratic polling overperformance is concentrated in rural, agricultural and energy-producing heartland states (Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska), coinciding with Trump's approval rating hitting a new low.

Josh TurekJosh Turek Democratic candidate, Iowa Senate raceAshley HinsonAshley Hinson Republican candidate, Iowa Senate raceChuck GrassleyChuck Grassley U.S. Senator, IowaMike Rogers Michigan RepublicanNate SilverNate Silver Polling analyst, Silver BulletinDonald TrumpDonald Trump U.S. President

Diesel price spike from Iran shutdown rattles GOP in farm states
natesilver.net

How it unfolded 3 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

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yesterdaytodaynow · 11:21 PM ET
  1. 3

    Farm-state Republicans press Trump administration on diesel prices

    The Hill reports that farm-state Republicans, including Hinson, are pushing the Trump administration and Congress to act on diesel costs, which have become a political liability ahead of the midterms; Hinson calls for the House to return to address the issue.

    1. 1 outlet first by The Hill, 4h ago · read ↗

  2. 2

    Nate Silver links diesel/gas prices to Republican polling collapse

    Silver Bulletin's Nate Silver argues that spiking fuel prices, concentrated in rural, agricultural and energy-producing states, may explain a broader Democratic polling surge in Iowa, Kansas and Nebraska, alongside a new low in Trump's approval rating.

    “All but the most obstinate Republicans are plainly unhappy about the situation.”
    — Nate Silver
    1. 1 outlet Diesel prices could crush Republicans in the heartland

      first by Silver Bulletin, 1d ago

  3. 1

    Marist poll shows Turek leading Iowa Senate race by 8 points

    A new Marist College poll puts Democrat Josh Turek ahead of Republican Ashley Hinson by 8 points in Iowa's Senate race, a state Trump carried by 13 points in 2024.

    “Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassley joined the chorus of concerns over the weekend.”
    — Washington Post, News outlet · source
  4. background

    Hinson demands an 'immediate end' to the Iran conflict — Iowa GOP Senate candidate Ashley Hinson calls for an immediate end to the Iran war amid rising fuel costs, despite having voted against resolutions directing Trump to end the conflict.

  5. background

    Grassley and congressional Republicans voice alarm over diesel costs — Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassley joins a growing chorus of congressional Republicans expressing concern that high diesel fuel costs are hurting their constituents.

  6. background

    Gas and diesel prices spike amid Iran's Strait of Hormuz shutdown — Retail gas prices climb to nearly $4.50 a gallon nationally as Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupts oil markets, with the Midwest and heartland states seeing the sharpest year-over-year increases.

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. 2 outlets GOP lawmakers sound alarm on diesel fuel costs

    first by The Washington Post, 1d ago · also Washington Post