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PoliticsQuiet 5d · day 5

NYT/Siena Poll Shows Susan Collins Leading in Maine Senate Race

A single Maine poll bucking a Democratic trend prompts questions about whether it's a statistical fluke or a warning sign.

newest coverage 4d agosummary written 4d ago5 pieces MastodonNewswiresGoogle News

What to know

  • A new NYT/Siena poll shows Susan Collins leading in Maine, running counter to what the Times says has been a strong stretch of polling for Democrats since Labor Day.
  • The Times's own framing poses the open question directly: is this Maine result a statistical outlier or an early sign of a broader trend?

Susan CollinsSusan Collins Maine senatorNate Cohn New York Times polling analyst

How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articlesposts

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  1. 1
    “There’s nothing more uncomfortable for a pollster than a result that stands out from the pack, but it doesn’t mean it should be dismissed.”
    — Nate Cohn
    1. 2 outlets Collins Leads in Maine in Our New Poll. Is That an Outlier or an Omen?

      first by New York Times, 4d ago · also NYT Politics