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PoliticsQuiet 3d · day 4

YouGov poll shows pro-Brexit parties collapsing as left-wing coalition emerges

Labour projected to lead but fall short of majority, while Conservatives and Reform UK fracture into irrelevance.

What to know

  • Labour projected to win 241 seats but fall 65 short of a majority, forcing reliance on centre-left allies to govern.
  • Conservatives and Reform UK combined would have 253 seats but refuse to work together, effectively eliminating the right as a coherent force.
  • Centre-left coalition math heavily favours progressive parties: Lib Dems (71), SNP (40), Greens (9), and Plaid Cymru (15) hold the balance of power.
  • The poll underscores the strategic advantage of left-wing tactical voting while right-wing leaders remain publicly feuding over minor disputes.
most voices

Pro-Brexit right has become irrelevant and the left's dominance is now inevitable.

  • “The latest YouGov MRP poll showing pro-Brexit parties collapsing into irrelevance proves the tide has permanently turned.”

    Fife4Europe · Mastodon ↗

“So for all the insults that Tory and Reform figures are trading with one another on social media, it is increasingly looking like the proverbial bald men fighting over a comb.”

David Maddox, Political editor, The Independent · The Independent ↗ · Sep 23

David Maddox Political editor, The IndependentNigel FarageNigel Farage Reform UK leaderKemi BadenochKemi Badenoch Conservative Party leaderYouGov Polling organization

YouGov poll shows pro-Brexit parties collapsing as left-wing coalition emerges
independent.co.uk

How it unfolded 3 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

Peak 2 pieces in one hour at Sep 24, 4 AM; 5 pieces over 4 days (2 articles · 3 posts) Sep 24, 2 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Sep 24, 3 AM — quietSep 24, 4 AM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Mastodon 2Sep 24, 5 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 24, 6 AM — quietSep 24, 7 AM — quietSep 24, 8 AM — quietSep 24, 9 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Sep 24, 10 AM — quietSep 24, 11 AM — quietSep 24, 12 PM — quietSep 24, 1 PM — quietSep 24, 2 PM — quietSep 24, 3 PM — quietSep 24, 4 PM — quietSep 24, 5 PM — quietSep 24, 6 PM — quietSep 24, 7 PM — quietSep 24, 8 PM — quietSep 24, 9 PM — quietSep 24, 10 PM — quietSep 24, 11 PM — quietSep 25, 12 AM — quietSep 25, 1 AM — quietSep 25, 2 AM — quietSep 25, 3 AM — quietSep 25, 4 AM — quietSep 25, 5 AM — quietSep 25, 6 AM — quietSep 25, 7 AM — quietSep 25, 8 AM — quietSep 25, 9 AM — quietSep 25, 10 AM — quietSep 25, 11 AM — quietSep 25, 12 PM — quietSep 25, 1 PM — quietSep 25, 2 PM — quietSep 25, 3 PM — quietSep 25, 4 PM — quietSep 25, 5 PM — quietSep 25, 6 PM — quietSep 25, 7 PM — quietSep 25, 8 PM — quietSep 25, 9 PM — quietSep 25, 10 PM — quietSep 25, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 12 AM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 3 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 6 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 9 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 11 AM — quietYesterday, 12 PM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 3 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 6 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 9 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — quietToday, 1 AM — quietToday, 2 AM — quietToday, 3 AM — quietToday, 4 AM — quietToday, 5 AM — quietToday, 6 AM — quietToday, 7 AM — quietToday, 8 AM — quietToday, 9 AM — quietToday, 10 AM — quietToday, 11 AM — quietToday, 12 PM — quietToday, 1 PM — quietToday, 2 PM — quietToday, 3 PM — quietToday, 4 PM — quietToday, 5 PM — quietToday, 6 PM — quietToday, 7 PM — quietToday, 8 PM — quiet 12–3
Sep 25yesterdaytodaynow · 9:57 PM ET
  1. 2

    Poll points to centre-left coalition as only viable government path

    With Lib Dems on 71 seats, SNP on 40, Plaid Cymru on 15, and Greens on 9, the only route to a governing majority would be Labour leading a coalition or confidence-and-supply arrangement with centre-left and nationalist parties. The Conservatives and Reform have both ruled out working together.

    • therightarticle@mas.to

      Britain’s pro-Brexit parties are becoming increasingly irrelevant https://www. independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli tics/yougov-poll-labour-reform-tories-farage-b3055569.html

      therightarticle@mas.toMastodon3d agoview on Mastodon ↗
  2. 3

    MaddoxRight-wing parties becoming irrelevant despite internal feuding

    The Independent's political editor David Maddox argues the poll demonstrates pro-Brexit parties have become "increasingly irrelevant," with both Conservative and Reform leaders reduced to "also rans" and their public squabbling over minor disputes only highlighting their diminished standing.

    “The right of centre, pro-Brexit parties in Britain are becoming increasingly irrelevant.”
    — David Maddox
    1. first by Mastodon, 3d ago · also The Independent

    • Fife4Europe@mastodon.scot

      The latest YouGov MRP poll showing pro-Brexit parties collapsing into irrelevance proves the tide has permanently turned. With Labour and progressive parties dominating, squabbling right-wing populists are left fighting over scraps. Why let discredited dogma hold us back? (1/2) 🤔 # FBPE https://www. independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli…

      Fife4Europe@mastodon.scotMastodon3d agoview on Mastodon ↗
  3. 1

    YouGov releases MRP poll projecting election outcome if held today

    YouGov published a major MRP (Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification) poll showing Labour as the largest party with 241 projected seats, Conservatives on 130, and Reform UK on 123—far short of a majority for any single party.

    • Britain’s pro-Brexit parties are becoming increasingly irrelevant https://www. independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli tics/yougov-poll-labour-reform-tories-farage-b3055569.html?utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub Posted into UK Politics @ uk-politics-Independent

      Independent@flipboard.comMastodon3d agoview on Mastodon ↗

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