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PoliticsQuiet 6d · day 6

Collins leads Jackson 49-46 in Maine Senate race, pulling middle voters

A New York Times/Press Herald/Siena poll shows the incumbent Republican holding a narrow lead with strong support from moderates ahead of November.

newest coverage 6d agosummary written 5d ago2 pieces Google NewsNewswires

What to know

  • Collins leads Jackson 49–46% in a state that has rejected every other Republican statewide since 2014, suggesting she has built an unusually strong moderate coalition.
  • The race is within the margin of error (±4.9 points) with six weeks until November; the ProPublica corruption investigation may yet shift moderate support.
  • Collins has maintained cross-party appeal by standing apart from Trump on tariffs and other issues while retaining enough Republican support to lead.

“(Collins) is supportive of Trump in a vocal way, which I think is unacceptable for anyone in the government at all.”

Hunt, Democratic voter · Portland Press Herald ↗ · Sep 23

Susan CollinsSusan Collins Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator from MaineTroy JacksonTroy Jackson Democratic challenger, former Maine Senate PresidentBrian Cashin 79-year-old independent voter from Cumberland, Maine

Collins leads Jackson 49-46 in Maine Senate race, pulling middle voters
pressherald.com

How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articles

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Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28yesterdaynow · 9:59 AM ET
  1. 1

    Poll results published; Collins shown pulling moderate voters

    Results released showing Collins cobbling together a coalition similar to her 2020 win, when 13% of Democrats supported her according to a CNN exit poll. About 54% of voters said Collins would be a more effective senator than Jackson, and nearly 60% said she would bring more resources back to Maine. The survey was conducted before ProPublica published an investigation about a federal corruption probe into Collins' 2020 campaign.

    “She has been a leader in the Senate. I think Troy would have a tough time making any contribution as a freshman senator.”
    — Brian Cashin
    1. 2 outlets Maine's middle might be swinging to Susan Collins, NYT/Press Herald/Siena poll shows

      first by The Portland Press Herald, 5d ago · also Portland Press Herald - Maine Sunday Telegram

  2. background

    NYT/Press Herald/Siena poll shows Collins leading Jackson by 3 points — A survey of 619 likely Maine voters conducted September 15–22 found Collins at 49% and Jackson at 46%, within the margin of error. The poll was the second installment of a collaboration between The New York Times, Portland Press Herald, and Siena College.