YouGov poll: Labour could win 321 seats by pledging to rejoin EU
A new MRP survey suggests reversing Brexit would boost Labour's election prospects, though PM Burnham remains cautious on the issue.
What to know
- A YouGov MRP poll shows Labour could win 321 seats (near majority) if pledging to rejoin the EU, but only 136 seats if maintaining current Brexit red lines.
- Former PM Tony Blair is publicly urging Burnham to adopt EU reversal as policy; current PM has become cautious, saying it's "a question for another day."
- The poll tested nearly 14,000 respondents on various EU scenarios; single market or customs union pledges alone would net Labour 256–257 seats.
- Best for Britain characterizes the results as a "wake-up call" showing EU membership is Labour's strongest electoral lever against returning Conservative power.
Burnham should commit to EU rejoin; the poll shows massive electoral gain and ignoring it risks handing power back to Conservatives.
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“Polling showing Labour could win 321 seats by pledging to rejoin the EU—versus crashing to 136 by clinging to Brexit red lines—is a massive wake-up call. Refusing to face economic reality risks handing power back to populists.”
Fife4Europe · Mastodon ↗
“These numbers are a wake-up call for both the prime minister and Labour backbenchers in previously Leave-voting constituencies.”
Naomi Smith, Chief executive, Best for Britain · HuffPost ↗
Andy Burnham Prime Minister
Tony Blair Former Prime MinisterBest for Britain Pro-European campaign groupYouGov Polling organization
How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts
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Burnham deflects on EU commitments despite poll pressure
When asked about EU policy this week, PM Burnham—who previously said he favored rejoining "within my lifetime"—tells reporters it is a question "for another day," declining to commit to a manifesto pledge. He has also refused to rule out the option.
“Britain should signal an intention if the terms are right to enter into a structured formal relationship with Europe and initiate a process of negotiation where everything is on the table but nothing agreed until everything is agreed.”
— Tony Blair, Former Prime Minister · source -
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An MRP poll by YouGov for Best for Britain suggests Andy Burnham could win 321 seats at the next election if Labour pledged to reverse Brexit. That would leave the party five seats short of an overall majority – but still comfortably ahead of its rivals and in a position to form the largest party.
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Poll results show stark difference in Labour seats under EU scenarios
The YouGov MRP poll finds Labour would win 321 seats if pledging full EU rejoin (5 short of majority), versus 257 if pledging single market only, 256 for customs union only, and a collapse to 136 if maintaining current Brexit position. Best for Britain's chief says the numbers are a "wake-up call."
“EU membership is the only policy lever that Labour close to a majority at the next election and keeps the architects of Brexit out of power.”
— Naomi Smith -
first by HuffPost, 4d ago
1 more headline
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Polling showing Labour could win 321 seats by pledging to rejoin the EU—versus crashing to 136 by clinging to Brexit red lines—is a massive wake-up call. Refusing to face economic reality risks handing power back to populists. Why ignore the evidence? (1/2) 🤔 # FBPE https://www. huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/ple…
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background
Tony Blair urges Burnham to adopt EU reversal plan — The former Prime Minister calls on Andy Burnham to make rejoining the EU a core part of his 10-year plan, suggesting a structured negotiation process with the EU where "everything is on the table but nothing agreed until everything is agreed."
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background
YouGov conducts MRP poll on Labour EU policy scenarios — YouGov surveyed almost 14,000 respondents between May and June for the pro-Europe campaign group Best for Britain, testing how different Labour positions on Brexit would affect voting intentions in a hypothetical election.