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Cook Political Report says House GOP majority now likely to fall

Nonpartisan forecaster shifts 15 House races toward Democrats a month before the midterms, putting the chamber within reach.

What to know

  • Cook Political Report shifted 15 House races toward Democrats, a sign the political environment is worsening for Republicans.
  • Democrats need a net gain of only three seats to take the House majority; Cook now projects a gain of five to 15 seats.
  • The forecast comes just over a month before the midterm elections.

“Cook now projects Democrats are most likely to gain between five and 15 seats”

Kate Santaliz, social media poster sharing Axios reporting · Mastodon ↗ · Sep 24

Cook Political Report nonpartisan election forecasterHouse Republicans current House majority partyHouse Democrats minority party seeking to retake the House

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlespostscomments

Peak 3 pieces in one half hour at Yesterday, 9 AM; 15 pieces over 31 hours (4 articles · 6 posts · 5 comments) Yesterday, 9:02 AM — quietYesterday, 9:32 AM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Mastodon 2, Newswires 1Yesterday, 10:02 AM — quietYesterday, 10:32 AM — quietYesterday, 11:02 AM — quietYesterday, 11:32 AM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Bluesky 1, Newswires 1Yesterday, 12:02 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Reddit 1Yesterday, 12:32 PM — quietYesterday, 1:02 PM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Bluesky 2Yesterday, 1:32 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Yesterday, 2:02 PM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Reddit 1Yesterday, 2:32 PM — quietYesterday, 3:02 PM — quietYesterday, 3:32 PM — quietYesterday, 4:02 PM — quietYesterday, 4:32 PM — quietYesterday, 5:02 PM — quietYesterday, 5:32 PM — quietYesterday, 6:02 PM — quietYesterday, 6:32 PM — quietYesterday, 7:02 PM — quietYesterday, 7:32 PM — quietYesterday, 8:02 PM — 2 pieces · 2 comments — Reddit 2Yesterday, 8:32 PM — quietYesterday, 9:02 PM — quietYesterday, 9:32 PM — quietYesterday, 10:02 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Yesterday, 10:32 PM — quietYesterday, 11:02 PM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Reddit 1Yesterday, 11:32 PM — quietToday, 12:02 AM — quietToday, 12:32 AM — quietToday, 1:02 AM — quietToday, 1:32 AM — quietToday, 2:02 AM — quietToday, 2:32 AM — quietToday, 3:02 AM — quietToday, 3:32 AM — quietToday, 4:02 AM — quietToday, 4:32 AM — quietToday, 5:02 AM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Reddit 1Today, 5:32 AM — quietToday, 6:02 AM — quietToday, 6:32 AM — quietToday, 7:02 AM — quietToday, 7:32 AM — quietToday, 8:02 AM — quietToday, 8:32 AM — quietToday, 9:02 AM — quietToday, 9:32 AM — quietToday, 10:02 AM — quietToday, 10:32 AM — quietToday, 11:02 AM — quietToday, 11:32 AM — quietToday, 12:02 PM — quietToday, 12:32 PM — quietToday, 1:02 PM — quietToday, 1:32 PM — quietToday, 2:02 PM — quietToday, 2:32 PM — quietToday, 3:02 PM — quietToday, 3:32 PM — quiet 12
4 PMtoday8 AMnow · 4:02 PM ET
  1. 2

    Democratic supporters call for a 'Blue Tsunami' push

    Following the forecast shift, Democratic-leaning social media users urged continued campaign mobilization ahead of the midterms.

    “More and more races shift towards Democrats. Let's keep going - phone banking, donating, marching, and more! It's time for that Blue Tsunami!”
    — sccdp@sfba.social
    • maverickhammed.bsky.social

      🚨 House Republicans are on track to lose their majority just a little over one month out from the midterm elections, according to a nonpartisan election forecaster. @axios.com

      maverickhammed.bsky.socialBluesky1d ago5▲view on Bluesky ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 7 posts in this stretch
    • sccdp@sfba.social

      More and more races shift towards Democrats. Let's keep going - phone banking, donating, marching, and more! It's time for that Blue Tsunami! # democracy # democrats # USPolitics https://www. axios.com/2026/09/25/house-rep ublicans-majority-democrats-battleground

      sccdp@sfba.socialMastodon1d ago2▲view on Mastodon ↗
    • If you tax them 100% and then lock them up if they don’t pay then we pay a fraction of the total debt and loose long term capital generation….if you lock up Bezos or Elon up do you think the massive juggernauts of their companies would still function and you would disincentivize the future of those with the next trillion dollar company idea. I…

      austincart121r/politics16h agoview on r/politics ↗
    all of them →
  2. 1

    Cook Political Report shifts 15 House races toward Democrats

    The nonpartisan forecaster moved 15 House races in Democrats' direction on Friday, concluding that Republicans are on track to lose their House majority just over a month before the midterms; Democrats need a net gain of three seats and are now projected to gain five to 15.

    “House Republicans are on track to lose their majority just a little over one month out from the midterm elections, according to a nonpartisan election forecaster.”
    — Axios
    1. first by Axios, 17h ago

    • axios.com

      House Republicans are on track to lose their majority just a little over one month out from the midterm elections, according to a nonpartisan election forecaster.

      axios.comBluesky1d ago1.0k▲view on Bluesky ↗

What people are saying 4 voices from 1 site · best of 8 · verbatim