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ClimateQuiet 7d · day 11

Stern Report's 20-year legacy: Climate economics still awaits action

On the anniversary of a landmark 2006 economic analysis, Fiona Harvey argues capitalism has yet to absorb climate science's core lesson.

What to know

  • The Stern Review (2006) established that climate action is economically rational—a radical challenge to mainstream economics that assigned less value to future lives and damages.
  • While Stern's framework is now accepted among economists, capitalism has largely failed to translate this consensus into large-scale climate action.
  • The core disagreement then and now: whether to discount the economic value of future generations' welfare; Stern said no, traditional economists said yes.

“Stern's crucial insight, the revolutionary idea on which his whole thesis turned, was that future generations have as much right to be born as we did.”

Fiona Harvey, Environment editor, The Guardian · The Guardian ↗ · Oct 27

Nicholas SternNicholas Stern Economist; World Bank chief economist; adviser to Gordon BrownWilliam Nordhaus Yale economist; prior standard-setter for climate economicsFiona HarveyFiona Harvey Environment editor, The Guardian

Stern Report's 20-year legacy: Climate economics still awaits action
theguardian.com

How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articlesposts

Peak 4 pieces in 3h at Oct 28, 3 AM; 12 pieces over 11 days (3 articles · 9 posts) Oct 28, 3 AM — 4 pieces · 3 articles · 1 post — Newswires 2, Mastodon 2Oct 28, 6 AM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Bluesky 1, Mastodon 1Oct 28, 9 AM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Bluesky 1, Mastodon 1Oct 28, 12 PM — quietOct 28, 3 PM — quietOct 28, 6 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 28, 9 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Bluesky 1Oct 29, 12 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 29, 3 AM — quietOct 29, 6 AM — quietOct 29, 9 AM — quietOct 29, 12 PM — quietOct 29, 3 PM — quietOct 29, 6 PM — quietOct 29, 9 PM — quietOct 30, 12 AM — quietOct 30, 3 AM — quietOct 30, 6 AM — quietOct 30, 9 AM — quietOct 30, 12 PM — quietOct 30, 3 PM — quietOct 30, 6 PM — quietOct 30, 9 PM — quietOct 31, 12 AM — quietOct 31, 3 AM — quietOct 31, 6 AM — quietOct 31, 9 AM — quietOct 31, 12 PM — quietOct 31, 3 PM — quietOct 31, 6 PM — quietOct 31, 9 PM — quietNov 1, 12 AM — quietNov 1, 2 AM — quietNov 1, 5 AM — quietNov 1, 8 AM — quietNov 1, 11 AM — quietNov 1, 2 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Nov 1, 5 PM — quietNov 1, 8 PM — quietNov 1, 11 PM — quietNov 2, 2 AM — quietNov 2, 5 AM — quietNov 2, 8 AM — quietNov 2, 11 AM — quietNov 2, 2 PM — quietNov 2, 5 PM — quietNov 2, 8 PM — quietNov 2, 11 PM — quietNov 3, 2 AM — quietNov 3, 5 AM — quietNov 3, 8 AM — quietNov 3, 11 AM — quietNov 3, 2 PM — quietNov 3, 5 PM — quietNov 3, 8 PM — quietNov 3, 11 PM — quietNov 4, 2 AM — quietNov 4, 5 AM — quietNov 4, 8 AM — quietNov 4, 11 AM — quietNov 4, 2 PM — quietNov 4, 5 PM — quietNov 4, 8 PM — quietNov 4, 11 PM — quietNov 5, 2 AM — quietNov 5, 5 AM — quietNov 5, 8 AM — quietNov 5, 11 AM — quietNov 5, 2 PM — quietNov 5, 5 PM — quietNov 5, 8 PM — quietNov 5, 11 PM — quietNov 6, 2 AM — quietNov 6, 5 AM — quietNov 6, 8 AM — quietNov 6, 11 AM — quietNov 6, 2 PM — quietNov 6, 5 PM — quietNov 6, 8 PM — quietNov 6, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 11 AM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 2 AM — quietToday, 5 AM — quietToday, 8 AM — quiet 1
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  1. 1

    Harvey marks Stern anniversary, argues capitalism has not shifted

    On the 20th anniversary of the Stern review, Guardian environment editor Fiona Harvey publishes commentary arguing that while Stern's economic case for climate action is now accepted among economists, mainstream capitalism has failed to act on it. She argues the fundamental insight—that future generations have as much right to be born as current ones—remains unincorporated into decision-making.

    “The radical Stern report showed that a low-carbon future is also good economics. But it seems that capitalism needs a reminder.”
    — Fiona Harvey
    1. first by Mastodon, 11d ago · also Guardian Environment, Guardian Business

      1 more headline
    • This week marks 20 years since the Stern review of the economics of climate change. It marked a massive moment in reckoning with the climate crisis. But many economists still have not caught up.

      fionaharvey.bsky.socialBluesky11d ago392▲view on Bluesky ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 6 posts in this stretch
    • Saving the only planet we have makes good economic sense. There is, after all, no money to be made on a dead Earth. # climateChange # climateCatastrophe # climateEmergency # climateBreakdown # tippingPoint https://www. theguardian.com/commentisfree/ 2026/oct/28/nicholas-stern-report-climate-consensus-lessons-capitalism

      tobeB@climatejustice.socialMastodon10d ago49▲view on Mastodon ↗
    • rebeccajohn.bsky.social

      "If we are to have a thriving future economy, as well as a living planet and robust human societies, we need a new system of economics that values these things." Well said @fionaharvey.bsky.social in @theguardian.com

      rebeccajohn.bsky.socialBluesky10d ago22▲view on Bluesky ↗
    all of them →
  2. background

    Traditional economists attack Stern's methodology — Stern's challenge to the discount rate—a central tenet of Treasury forecasting worldwide—provokes intense backlash from mainstream economists, including Yale's William Nordhaus, whose prior framework had recommended accepting 3–4°C of warming.

  3. background

    Nicholas Stern publishes economic analysis of climate change — Former World Bank chief economist Nicholas Stern, then advising Gordon Brown, releases a 700-page review concluding that the costs of inaction on climate exceed the costs of action, that climate change is a market failure, and that economic growth is compatible with cutting greenhouse gas emissions. The report challenges the mainstream economic practice of applying discount rates to future damage and future lives.

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