CNN poll: Democrats lead in Texas and Michigan Senate races, Maine and Kansas toss-ups
A new CNN survey shows Abdul El-Sayed and Texas Democrats ahead, while Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remain locked in a dead heat in Maine.
What to know
- A new CNN poll shows Democrats leading in Texas and Michigan Senate races, with tight contests in Maine and Kansas.
- In Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers 49%-42%, up from a 47%-44% edge in a September CNN poll.
- In Maine, Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins 49%-45%, though over 12% of voters say they could still change their minds.
- Democrats need to flip four Senate seats to secure a 51-seat majority independent of the vice presidential tiebreaker.
“You'll lose big time”
Susan Collins, Republican Senator, Maine · Fox News ↗ · Oct 28
Susan Collins Republican U.S. Senator from Maine, incumbent
Troy Jackson Democratic Senate candidate in Maine
Abdul El-Sayed Democratic Senate candidate in MichiganMike Rogers Republican Senate candidate in Michigan, former U.S. Representative
How it unfolded 4 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesvideospostscomments
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Maine and Kansas Senate races remain neck and neck
The same CNN poll found Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson extremely tight (49%-45% for Jackson, with over 12% still persuadable) and Kansas similarly close, even as Democrats extended leads in Texas and Michigan.
“100th in seniority…”
— Susan Collins, Republican Senator, Maine · source -
first by USA Today, 9d ago · also Washington Examiner, Hindustan Times, MassLive, PennLive, Yahoo
4 more headlines
- Democrats lead Republicans in 5 of 7 Senate battlegrounds, new polls show USA Today · 6d ago
- Democrats lead in seven Senate battlegrounds as Trump approval weighs on GOP: Poll Washington Examiner · 6d ago
- US midterms: New poll shows Democrats gain ground in seven key Senate battlegrounds, putting GOP strongholds at risk Hindustan Times · 6d ago
- From Texas to Maine, Democrats are leading in Senate battlegrounds: Here's what the latest polls show NJ.com · 6d ago
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2 outlets Democrats Lead in Four Key Senate Races
first by Political Wire, 10d ago · also Newsweek
1 more headline
- Democrats Lead All Senate Races Surveyed by ‘Most Accurate Pollster’ Newsweek · 5d ago
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Democrats are ahead of Republicans in almost all of the seven battleground states that will determine which party controls the Senate, according to the final set of polls from The New York Times and Siena University before the midterm elections.
2 more of the top 3 · 14 posts in this stretch
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I don't trust the polls. They were wrong in the past. I don't trust people's understanding of the polls, they are always wrong. Most polls have a margin of error somewhere around 4 points. Most of the 'too close to call' races are at or under 4 points when you average the polls. The polls (on average) are telling us very clearly, that Senate…
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T•••• reenacting another round of fellatio will def turn this around for the crook he calls ugly and dumb https://www. cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/cn n-polls-michigan-maine-texas-kansas-senate-races-midterms-vis
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New CNN poll shows Democrats leading in Texas, Michigan
CNN released a new poll showing 49% of Michigan respondents backing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed versus 42% for Republican Mike Rogers, and Democrats also leading in the Texas Senate race.
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3 outlets first by NewsMax.com, 10d ago · also Fox News, The Hill · read ↗
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first by The Hill, 6d ago · also Anadolu Agency, The Guardian
2 more headlines
- Democrats lead in 5 Republican-held Senate races ahead of US midterms: Polls Anadolu Agency · 6d ago
- Democrats aim to retake Senate from Republicans as Americans go to polls The Guardian · 6d ago
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Collins touts seniority, warns against electing Jackson
In a Fox News Digital interview, Susan Collins highlighted her ability to bring federal funding to Maine and warned that Troy Jackson would start with no clout in the Senate.
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Collins and Jackson debate at Husson University
Maine Senate rivals Susan Collins and Troy Jackson met in a debate at Husson University in Bangor, days ahead of the new polling release.
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South Carolina Senate race turns into a nail biter as a new @nytimes.com @sienaresearch.bsky.social poll shows Graham and Andrews tied at 48% each. By contrast, neither Minnesota nor Florida looks likely to flip.
2 more of the top 3 · 5 posts in this stretch
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CNN poll: Democrat Senate candidates take the lead in Texas and Michigan https://www. cnn.com/politics/video/michiga n-texas-maine-kansas-poll-midterms-behind-the-scenes-vod?utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub Posted into Politics @ politics-thenewsdesk
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# CNN # News Democrats in striking distance: New CNN polls in four states highlight party’s path to Senate majority
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background
Earlier CNN poll shows tighter Michigan Senate race — A CNN poll from early September had Democrat Abdul El-Sayed at 47% to Republican Mike Rogers' 44% in the Michigan Senate race, a narrower margin than the latest survey.
Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet
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first by Forbes, 7d ago · also Hopium Chronicles, NYT, Newsweek
4 more headlines
- Final NYT Battleground Polls Has Us Up In 7 Key Senate Races, And The Senate Flipping Hopium Chronicles · 7d ago
- Final Times/Siena Polls Show Democrats Ahead in All Seven Key Senate Races, Most Within Margin of Error Political.org · 7d ago
- Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find Mastodon · 6d ago
- Final Polls Reveal Democrats’ Chances of Flipping the Senate Newsweek · 5d ago
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first by Cleveland.com, 9d ago · also MassLive, PennLive
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first by PBS, 10d ago · also PBS NewsHour
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first by Yahoo, 12d ago · also The Center for Politics at UVA
1 more headline
- Democrats Appear to Hold Narrow Senate Edge with Week to Go; Rating Changes for Senate, House, and Governors The Center for Politics at UVA · 12d ago
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first by New York Times, 11d ago · also NYT
and 7 smaller pieces
What people are saying 10 voices from 3 sites · best of 19 · verbatim
- Nov 3
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I’m referring to the current person being labeled as the most accurate pollster and using the example of the previous one getting the election wrong and quitting as an example of how the industry is dead. You can claim I’m doing whatever you want to push your agenda. I could care less about that. Polls are useless, go vote!
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BREAKING: Democrats are favored in all 7 key Senate races on Election Day 🟦 Iowa: 52% 🟦 Kansas: 63% 🟦 Alaska: 70% 🟦 Ohio: 72% 🟦 Maine: 72% 🟦 Texas: 72% 🟦 Michigan: 79%
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Hard to have any faith in the polls after 2024. Please go out and vote blue everyone
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I have no faith in American voters, so just hoping they don't give Trump a super majority this time please.
- Nov 2
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🚨🇺🇸 DEMOCRATS ARE LEADING IN ALL 7 SENATE BATTLEGROUNDS SHOWN HERE Michigan: D+11 Texas: D+7 Maine: D+6 Ohio: D+6 Kansas: D+5 Alaska: D+1 Iowa: D+1 The graphic projects Democrats going from 47 to 54 Senate seats. Texas and Kansas are the numbers that jump off the screen.
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Here's the thing: These polls are apparently weighted in Republicans favor! So if this is with a thumb on the scale in Republicans favor, what do unweighted polls look like?
- Nov 1
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https://www. nytimes.com/2026/11/01/us/poli tics/times-siena-poll-senate.html
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The NYT polls from 2024 were all within 2% of the actual results. It was less than 2% in 2022. Sometimes its okay to acknowledge them
- Oct 29
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NEW Senate polls Michigan: 🔵 El-Sayed 49% (+7) 🔴 Rogers 42% . Texas: 🔵 Talarico 49% (+6) 🔴 Paxton 43% . Kansas: 🔵 Hamilton 49% (+4) 🔴 Marshall 45% . Maine: 🔵 Jackson 49% (+4) 🔴 Collins 45% @CNN, LV, 10/20-27
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# CNN # News CNN poll: Democrat Senate candidates take the lead in Texas and Michigan

