October 2026 projected as hottest month on record at 1.76°C above preindustrial levels
Climate scientists predict this month will surpass 2023's record, with 2026 tracking toward one of the hottest years ever recorded.
What to know
- October 2026 is projected to be the hottest month on record at 1.76°C above preindustrial levels, surpassing 2023's previous record of 1.7°C.
- The record month puts 2026 on track to rank among the hottest years ever recorded, with 2027 potentially even warmer as El Niño intensifies.
- 2026 has already set multiple temperature records, including the U.S.'s hottest September, hottest first eight months, hottest 12-month period, and hottest global ocean temperatures.
Zeke Hausfather Climate scientistAndrew Dessler Climate scientistCopernicus Climate Change Service European climate data authority
How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump posts
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Hausfather forecasts record-setting pattern through 2027
Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather predicts that October's record is the start of a series of record-setting months, with El Niño intensifying to produce record temperatures culminating in 2027.
“This year's record-setting October is a sign that the 'Super El Niño' is kicking into gear and will likely be the first in a series of record-setting months, culminating in a record-setting 2027.”
— Zeke Hausfather -
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Den globala medeltemperaturen i oktober 2026 var 1,76°C över förindustriell tid enligt preliminära siffror. 2°C närmar sig snabbt och är sannolikt här om några år. Fortfarande vägrar vi förstå hur allvarligt läget är.
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'This Oct is on track to be the hottest ever recorded. Global temperatures this month are set to be around 1.76 degrees Celsius (about 3.17 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels, surpassing the previous record set in 2023, researchers predict.'
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Scientists project October 2026 as hottest month on record
Climate researchers Andrew Dessler and Zeke Hausfather, analyzing Copernicus Climate Change Service data, project October 2026 global temperatures at 1.76°C above preindustrial averages, surpassing October 2023's previous record of 1.7°C.
“This October is almost certainly going to be the hottest October ever recorded. Global temperatures this month are set to be around 1.76 degrees Celsius (about 3.17 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels, surpassing the previous record set in 2023.”
— Scientific American -
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This is almost certainly the hottest October ever recorded. Global temperatures this month are on track to be about 1.76 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels.
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