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ClimateQuiet 6d · day 9

October 2026 projected as hottest month on record at 1.76°C above preindustrial levels

Climate scientists predict this month will surpass 2023's record, with 2026 tracking toward one of the hottest years ever recorded.

What to know

  • October 2026 is projected to be the hottest month on record at 1.76°C above preindustrial levels, surpassing 2023's previous record of 1.7°C.
  • The record month puts 2026 on track to rank among the hottest years ever recorded, with 2027 potentially even warmer as El Niño intensifies.
  • 2026 has already set multiple temperature records, including the U.S.'s hottest September, hottest first eight months, hottest 12-month period, and hottest global ocean temperatures.

Zeke Hausfather Climate scientistAndrew Dessler Climate scientistCopernicus Climate Change Service European climate data authority

October 2026 projected as hottest month on record at 1.76°C above preindustrial levels
scientificamerican.com

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump posts

Peak 2 pieces in two hours at Oct 30, 11 AM; 4 pieces over 9 days (4 posts) Oct 30, 11 AM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Bluesky 1, Reddit 1Oct 30, 1 PM — quietOct 30, 3 PM — quietOct 30, 5 PM — quietOct 30, 7 PM — quietOct 30, 9 PM — quietOct 30, 11 PM — quietOct 31, 1 AM — quietOct 31, 3 AM — quietOct 31, 5 AM — quietOct 31, 7 AM — quietOct 31, 9 AM — quietOct 31, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Bluesky 1Oct 31, 1 PM — quietOct 31, 3 PM — quietOct 31, 5 PM — quietOct 31, 7 PM — quietOct 31, 9 PM — quietOct 31, 11 PM — quietNov 1, 1 AM — quietNov 1, 2 AM — quietNov 1, 4 AM — quietNov 1, 6 AM — quietNov 1, 8 AM — quietNov 1, 10 AM — quietNov 1, 12 PM — quietNov 1, 2 PM — quietNov 1, 4 PM — quietNov 1, 6 PM — quietNov 1, 8 PM — quietNov 1, 10 PM — quietNov 2, 12 AM — quietNov 2, 2 AM — quietNov 2, 4 AM — quietNov 2, 6 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Bluesky 1Nov 2, 8 AM — quietNov 2, 10 AM — quietNov 2, 12 PM — quietNov 2, 2 PM — quietNov 2, 4 PM — quietNov 2, 6 PM — quietNov 2, 8 PM — quietNov 2, 10 PM — quietNov 3, 12 AM — quietNov 3, 2 AM — quietNov 3, 4 AM — quietNov 3, 6 AM — quietNov 3, 8 AM — quietNov 3, 10 AM — quietNov 3, 12 PM — quietNov 3, 2 PM — quietNov 3, 4 PM — quietNov 3, 6 PM — quietNov 3, 8 PM — quietNov 3, 10 PM — quietNov 4, 12 AM — quietNov 4, 2 AM — quietNov 4, 4 AM — quietNov 4, 6 AM — quietNov 4, 8 AM — quietNov 4, 10 AM — quietNov 4, 12 PM — quietNov 4, 2 PM — quietNov 4, 4 PM — quietNov 4, 6 PM — quietNov 4, 8 PM — quietNov 4, 10 PM — quietNov 5, 12 AM — quietNov 5, 2 AM — quietNov 5, 4 AM — quietNov 5, 6 AM — quietNov 5, 8 AM — quietNov 5, 10 AM — quietNov 5, 12 PM — quietNov 5, 2 PM — quietNov 5, 4 PM — quietNov 5, 6 PM — quietNov 5, 8 PM — quietNov 5, 10 PM — quietNov 6, 12 AM — quietNov 6, 2 AM — quietNov 6, 4 AM — quietNov 6, 6 AM — quietNov 6, 8 AM — quietNov 6, 10 AM — quietNov 6, 12 PM — quietNov 6, 2 PM — quietNov 6, 4 PM — quietNov 6, 6 PM — quietNov 6, 8 PM — quietNov 6, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 12 AM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 6 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 12 PM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 6 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — quietToday, 2 AM — quietToday, 4 AM — quietToday, 6 AM — quietToday, 8 AM — quietToday, 10 AM — quiet 1–2
Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6yesterdaynow · 12:41 PM ET
  1. 1

    Hausfather forecasts record-setting pattern through 2027

    Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather predicts that October's record is the start of a series of record-setting months, with El Niño intensifying to produce record temperatures culminating in 2027.

    “This year's record-setting October is a sign that the 'Super El Niño' is kicking into gear and will likely be the first in a series of record-setting months, culminating in a record-setting 2027.”
    — Zeke Hausfather
    • lasse2.bsky.social

      Den globala medeltemperaturen i oktober 2026 var 1,76°C över förindustriell tid enligt preliminära siffror. 2°C närmar sig snabbt och är sannolikt här om några år. Fortfarande vägrar vi förstå hur allvarligt läget är.

      lasse2.bsky.socialBluesky6d ago39▲view on Bluesky ↗
    1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch
    • serenaribena.bsky.social

      'This Oct is on track to be the hottest ever recorded. Global temperatures this month are set to be around 1.76 degrees Celsius (about 3.17 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels, surpassing the previous record set in 2023, researchers predict.'

      serenaribena.bsky.socialBluesky8d ago7▲view on Bluesky ↗
    all of them →
  2. 2

    Scientists project October 2026 as hottest month on record

    Climate researchers Andrew Dessler and Zeke Hausfather, analyzing Copernicus Climate Change Service data, project October 2026 global temperatures at 1.76°C above preindustrial averages, surpassing October 2023's previous record of 1.7°C.

    “This October is almost certainly going to be the hottest October ever recorded. Global temperatures this month are set to be around 1.76 degrees Celsius (about 3.17 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels, surpassing the previous record set in 2023.”
    — Scientific American
    • sciam.bsky.social

      This is almost certainly the hottest October ever recorded. Global temperatures this month are on track to be about 1.76 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels.

      sciam.bsky.socialBluesky9d ago92▲view on Bluesky ↗

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