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Guardian analysis: Trump's foreign policy turns regional fires into global blaze

Patrick Wintour's Guardian analysis says a go-it-alone, unpredictable Trump is destabilizing allies and foes alike, with his own Mideast envoy conceding US interventions keep backfiring.

What to know

  • A Guardian analysis argues Trump's unpredictable foreign policy is linking multiple global crises — Iran, Gaza, Ukraine, Yemen, unrest in Europe — into one interconnected, hard-to-resolve pressure cooker.
  • Trump's own Middle East envoy, Tom Barrack, publicly conceded that the war on Iran spread unintended consequences across the region and that 23 US-driven regime changes in the Middle East have all failed.
  • The piece frames the current moment as one of collective paralysis due to the absence of clear US leadership, citing warnings from India's foreign minister and analysis from scholar Charles Kupchan.

“We started trying to do something with our allies in Iran that spread through Hamas, Hezbollah, to six Iranian militias, the Houthis and is now going to north Africa. So where does it stop? How much does this US intervention help or hurt?”

Tom Barrack, Trump's Middle East envoy · The Guardian ↗ · Oct 30

Donald TrumpDonald Trump US PresidentTom BarrackTom Barrack Trump's envoy to Turkey and Middle East counsellorSubrahmanyam Jaishankar Indian external affairs ministerCharles Kupchan American international relations expert, author

Guardian analysis: Trump's foreign policy turns regional fires into global blaze
theguardian.com

How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articlesposts

Peak 4 pieces in two hours at Oct 31, 1 AM; 8 pieces over 9 days (4 articles · 4 posts) Oct 31, 1 AM — 4 pieces · 3 articles · 1 post — Mastodon 2, Google News 1, Newswires 1Oct 31, 3 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 31, 5 AM — quietOct 31, 7 AM — quietOct 31, 9 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 31, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Oct 31, 1 PM — quietOct 31, 3 PM — quietOct 31, 5 PM — quietOct 31, 7 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Reddit 1Oct 31, 9 PM — quietOct 31, 11 PM — quietNov 1, 1 AM — quietNov 1, 2 AM — quietNov 1, 4 AM — quietNov 1, 6 AM — quietNov 1, 8 AM — quietNov 1, 10 AM — quietNov 1, 12 PM — quietNov 1, 2 PM — quietNov 1, 4 PM — quietNov 1, 6 PM — quietNov 1, 8 PM — quietNov 1, 10 PM — quietNov 2, 12 AM — quietNov 2, 2 AM — quietNov 2, 4 AM — quietNov 2, 6 AM — quietNov 2, 8 AM — quietNov 2, 10 AM — quietNov 2, 12 PM — quietNov 2, 2 PM — quietNov 2, 4 PM — quietNov 2, 6 PM — quietNov 2, 8 PM — quietNov 2, 10 PM — quietNov 3, 12 AM — quietNov 3, 2 AM — quietNov 3, 4 AM — quietNov 3, 6 AM — quietNov 3, 8 AM — quietNov 3, 10 AM — quietNov 3, 12 PM — quietNov 3, 2 PM — quietNov 3, 4 PM — quietNov 3, 6 PM — quietNov 3, 8 PM — quietNov 3, 10 PM — quietNov 4, 12 AM — quietNov 4, 2 AM — quietNov 4, 4 AM — quietNov 4, 6 AM — quietNov 4, 8 AM — quietNov 4, 10 AM — quietNov 4, 12 PM — quietNov 4, 2 PM — quietNov 4, 4 PM — quietNov 4, 6 PM — quietNov 4, 8 PM — quietNov 4, 10 PM — quietNov 5, 12 AM — quietNov 5, 2 AM — quietNov 5, 4 AM — quietNov 5, 6 AM — quietNov 5, 8 AM — quietNov 5, 10 AM — quietNov 5, 12 PM — quietNov 5, 2 PM — quietNov 5, 4 PM — quietNov 5, 6 PM — quietNov 5, 8 PM — quietNov 5, 10 PM — quietNov 6, 12 AM — quietNov 6, 2 AM — quietNov 6, 4 AM — quietNov 6, 6 AM — quietNov 6, 8 AM — quietNov 6, 10 AM — quietNov 6, 12 PM — quietNov 6, 2 PM — quietNov 6, 4 PM — quietNov 6, 6 PM — quietNov 6, 8 PM — quietNov 6, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 12 AM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 6 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 12 PM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 6 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — quietToday, 2 AM — quietToday, 4 AM — quietToday, 6 AM — quietToday, 8 AM — quietToday, 10 AM — quietToday, 12 PM — quiet 1
Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6yesterdaynow · 1:10 PM ET
  1. 1

    Guardian publishes analysis on Trump-driven global instability

    Patrick Wintour's Guardian piece ties together Iran, Gaza, Ukraine, Yemen and unrest in Europe, arguing the absence of US leadership under Trump is producing collective paralysis, citing Charles Kupchan's new book on diffusing global power.

    “The world is experiencing deep tectonic transformations. Power is rapidly diffusing across the international system, decentering global politics and reawakening great power competition.”
    — Charles Kupchan
    • PaulWermer@sfba.social

      And the lickspittle # GOP # Congress and # SCOTUS6 have enabled this. That's why another 2 years of a GOP congress would be so damaging. # Vote and help win a Democratic majority in both House & Senate. As Trump fans the flames of a world on fire, can diplomacy take back control? https://www. theguardian.com/us-news/2026/o…

      PaulWermer@sfba.socialMastodon8d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch
    • SharG@mastodon.social

      https://www. theguardian.com/us-news/2026/o ct/31/as-trump-fans-the-flames-of-a-world-on-fire-can-diplomacy-take-back-control?CMP=share_btn_url

      SharG@mastodon.socialMastodon8d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    all of them →
  2. background

    Jaishankar warns 'war anywhere threatens peace everywhere' — India's external affairs minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar said global interdependence means conflicts can no longer be contained regionally.

  3. background

    Barrack says 23 US-driven regime changes 'none of them have worked' — Barrack told the Doha audience that 23 regime changes across the greater Middle East and Levant instigated by American influence have all failed, citing Iraq, Libya and Afghanistan while omitting Iran.

  4. background

    Barrack admits Iran war spread into wider regional crisis — Speaking in Doha, Trump's envoy Tom Barrack said the Iran intervention spread through Hamas, Hezbollah, six Iranian militias and the Houthis and is now reaching north Africa, comparing the region to a Rubik's Cube where one move changes everything.

  5. background

    Trump and Israel launch war on Iran — The US and Israel launched a war against Iran in late February, which the Guardian analysis says set off a chain of unintended regional consequences still unfolding.

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. first by Political.org, 8d ago · also Guardian US

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