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BusinessQuiet 11d · day 18

Anthropic's IPO filing reveals $23.3B quarterly loss and ~$900B in future obligations

S-1/A disclosures and a sliding pre-IPO perpetual raise doubts about Anthropic's cash burn ahead of its public listing.

What to know

  • Anthropic's S-1/A filing discloses a $23.3 billion quarterly net loss and nearly $900 billion in future obligations ahead of its IPO.
  • Anthropic's pre-IPO perpetual contract on Liquid has fallen over 15% in a month, erasing hundreds of billions in implied valuation.
  • Neocloud stocks have dropped more than 30% this month, adding pressure to the IPO timeline and valuation.
  • Investors are split on whether Anthropic's cash, undrawn credit, and IPO proceeds (totaling over $300B combined) are sufficient against roughly $70B of near-term compute obligations.

The dispute Whether Anthropic's disclosed cash and credit position is adequate reassurance or whether the scale of its losses and obligations signals deeper financial trouble. · positions read across 3 posts and comments

many voices

Anthropic's losses and future obligations are alarmingly large and its spending model looks unsustainable.

  • “I'd imagine somewhere between $100~200B. Any thoughts on this?”

    Puzzled-Question-156 · reddit ↗
some voices

Anthropic's cash, credit, and IPO proceeds are large enough to cover near-term compute costs, easing fears about its cloud partners' exposure.

  • “+$132B of cash and investments +$82B of undrawn loans +$50B run-rate revenue less non-compute cash costs +$100B IPO proceeds”

    @southernvalue95 · x ↗
some voices

Anthropic is not systemically important enough to be 'too big to fail,' so a failure would hurt investors but not the broader economy.

  • “I'm confused about how a niche tech company can be too big to fail. It's not like banking where the world's MBS market implodes, they can literally fail tomorrow and the investors lose their shirt and the rest of us just shrug.”

    J_NonServiam · reddit ↗

Anthropic AI company filing for IPOAmazon Cloud infrastructure partner / investorGoogle Cloud infrastructure partner / investorBroadcom Hardware/chip supplier

Anthropic's IPO filing reveals $23.3B quarterly loss and ~$900B in future obligations
x.com

How it unfolded 4 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlespostscomments

Peak 2 pieces in 4h at Oct 31, 5 PM; 6 pieces over 18 days (2 articles · 3 posts · 1 comment) Oct 26, 5 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Reddit 1Oct 26, 9 PM — quietOct 27, 1 AM — quietOct 27, 5 AM — 1 piece · 1 comment — Reddit 1Oct 27, 9 AM — quietOct 27, 1 PM — quietOct 27, 5 PM — quietOct 27, 9 PM — quietOct 28, 1 AM — quietOct 28, 5 AM — quietOct 28, 9 AM — quietOct 28, 1 PM — quietOct 28, 5 PM — quietOct 28, 9 PM — quietOct 29, 1 AM — quietOct 29, 5 AM — quietOct 29, 9 AM — quietOct 29, 1 PM — quietOct 29, 5 PM — quietOct 29, 9 PM — quietOct 30, 1 AM — quietOct 30, 5 AM — quietOct 30, 9 AM — quietOct 30, 1 PM — quietOct 30, 5 PM — quietOct 30, 9 PM — quietOct 31, 1 AM — quietOct 31, 5 AM — quietOct 31, 9 AM — quietOct 31, 1 PM — quietOct 31, 5 PM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 2Oct 31, 9 PM — quietNov 1, 1 AM — quietNov 1, 4 AM — quietNov 1, 8 AM — quietNov 1, 12 PM — quietNov 1, 4 PM — quietNov 1, 8 PM — quietNov 2, 12 AM — quietNov 2, 4 AM — quietNov 2, 8 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — X 1Nov 2, 12 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Nov 2, 4 PM — quietNov 2, 8 PM — quietNov 3, 12 AM — quietNov 3, 4 AM — quietNov 3, 8 AM — quietNov 3, 12 PM — quietNov 3, 4 PM — quietNov 3, 8 PM — quietNov 4, 12 AM — quietNov 4, 4 AM — quietNov 4, 8 AM — quietNov 4, 12 PM — quietNov 4, 4 PM — quietNov 4, 8 PM — quietNov 5, 12 AM — quietNov 5, 4 AM — quietNov 5, 8 AM — quietNov 5, 12 PM — quietNov 5, 4 PM — quietNov 5, 8 PM — quietNov 6, 12 AM — quietNov 6, 4 AM — quietNov 6, 8 AM — quietNov 6, 12 PM — quietNov 6, 4 PM — quietNov 6, 8 PM — quietNov 7, 12 AM — quietNov 7, 4 AM — quietNov 7, 8 AM — quietNov 7, 12 PM — quietNov 7, 4 PM — quietNov 7, 8 PM — quietNov 8, 12 AM — quietNov 8, 4 AM — quietNov 8, 8 AM — quietNov 8, 12 PM — quietNov 8, 4 PM — quietNov 8, 8 PM — quietNov 9, 12 AM — quietNov 9, 4 AM — quietNov 9, 8 AM — quietNov 9, 12 PM — quietNov 9, 4 PM — quietNov 9, 8 PM — quietNov 10, 12 AM — quietNov 10, 4 AM — quietNov 10, 8 AM — quietNov 10, 12 PM — quietNov 10, 4 PM — quietNov 10, 8 PM — quietNov 11, 12 AM — quietNov 11, 4 AM — quietNov 11, 8 AM — quietNov 11, 12 PM — quietNov 11, 4 PM — quietNov 11, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 12 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 12 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — quietToday, 4 AM — quietToday, 8 AM — quietToday, 12 PM — quietToday, 4 PM — quietToday, 8 PM — quiet 123–4
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 7Nov 9Nov 11now · 9:55 PM ET
  1. 4

    Pre-IPO perpetual drops 15%, S-1 shows $23.3B quarterly loss

    Anthropic's pre-IPO perpetual contract on trading platform Liquid falls over 15% in a month, erasing hundreds of billions from its implied valuation, as the latest IPO filing discloses a $23.3 billion quarterly net loss and nearly $900 billion in future obligations.

    “BREAKING: Anthropic's pre-IPO perpetual on Liquid is now down over 15% in the last month, wiping hundreds of billions from its implied valuation.”
    — unusual_whales
    • unusual_whales@masto.ai

      BREAKING: Anthropic's pre-IPO perpetual on Liquid is now down over 15% in the last month, wiping hundreds of billions from its implied valuation. The decline comes as Anthropic's latest IPO filing reveals a $23.3 billion quarterly net loss and nearly $900 billion in future https:// t.co/9TOQ9hKmeX # news # finance # economics # stocks # options

      unusual_whales@masto.aiMastodon11d agoview on Mastodon ↗
  2. 3

    Investor argues S-1/A eases fears over cloud partners' exposure

    A financial commentator breaks down Anthropic's balance sheet from the S-1/A — over $132B in cash and investments, $82B in undrawn loans, $50B run-rate revenue, and $100B in expected IPO proceeds — against roughly $70B of compute due in the next twelve months, arguing this should calm concerns about backlog exposure for Amazon, Google, and Broadcom.

    “+$132B of cash and investments +$82B of undrawn loans +$50B run-rate revenue less non-compute cash costs +$100B IPO proceeds…”
    — @southernvalue95
    • The Anthropic S1/A should ease concerns over the risk of Anthropic backlog exposure for $AMZN $GOOG $AVGO: +$132B of cash and investments +$82B of undrawn loans +$50B run-rate revenue less non-compute cash costs +$100B IPO proceeds Against that, they must fund: -$70B compute due in the NTM, and...

      @southernvalue95X11d agoview on X ↗
  3. 1 day quiet
  4. 2

    Neocloud stocks sink over 30% in a month, pressuring IPO outlook

    Coverage highlights a sharp monthly decline in neocloud (AI-focused cloud infrastructure) stocks, raising questions about how the selloff could affect Anthropic's planned IPO.

    1. first by Yahoo Finance, 13d ago · also The Motley Fool

  5. 4 days quiet
  6. 1

    Investor flags gap between cash spent and projected burn

    A Reddit poster notes Anthropic has spent only $19B in cash since founding but reportedly needs $200B per year after IPO, estimating non-cash losses from the S-1 at $100-200B based on an earlier '$80B marked loss' figure from June.

    “I'd imagine somewhere between $100~200B. Any thoughts on this?”
    — Puzzled-Question-156
    • I'm confused about how a niche tech company can be too big to fail. It's not like banking where the world's MBS market implodes, they can literally fail tomorrow and the investors lose their shirt and the rest of us just shrug. The big boys will be fine since they have other profitable business divisions.

      J_NonServiamr/wallstreetbets17d agoview on r/wallstreetbets ↗

What people are saying 0 voices from 0 sites · best of 3 · verbatim