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WorldQuiet 6d · day 11

UAE's Gargash warns of 'no quick off-ramps' as Iran-US standoff nears brink

At the Manama Dialogue, UAE adviser Anwar Gargash says the Gulf hopes for a breakthrough but is bracing for a resumption of the Iran-US war.

What to know

  • Iran has sent negotiators to Qatar for indirect talks with the US on a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but no direct US-Iran talks are occurring.
  • US officials have reportedly told Gulf allies to prepare for a possible 'short and swift' resumption of strikes as early as Nov. 4, the day after US midterm elections, though Trump has not made a final decision.
  • UAE and other Gulf states publicly back diplomacy while preparing for renewed conflict, having absorbed over 3,000 Iranian drone and missile attacks before the April ceasefire.
  • Officials on both sides frame military action as offering no 'quick off-ramps,' with the war's outcome likely to hinge on events after the Nov. 3 US midterms.

“The second round (of escalation) will be more dangerous, more destructive, and it will lead to nowhere.”

Badr Abdelatty, Egyptian Foreign Minister · Philadelphia Inquirer (AP) ↗ · Oct 30

Anwar GargashAnwar Gargash Diplomatic adviser to the UAE presidentDonald TrumpDonald Trump US PresidentMarco RubioMarco Rubio US Secretary of StateAbbas AraghchiAbbas Araghchi Iranian Foreign MinisterDonald Blome US Assistant Secretary for Near Eastern AffairsBadr AbdelattyBadr Abdelatty Egyptian Foreign Minister

UAE's Gargash warns of 'no quick off-ramps' as Iran-US standoff nears brink
semafor.com

How it unfolded 3 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

Peak 3 pieces in 3h at Nov 1, 10 AM; 20 pieces over 11 days (14 articles · 6 posts) Oct 28, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Oct 28, 2 PM — quietOct 28, 5 PM — quietOct 28, 8 PM — quietOct 28, 11 PM — quietOct 29, 2 AM — quietOct 29, 5 AM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Oct 29, 8 AM — quietOct 29, 11 AM — quietOct 29, 2 PM — quietOct 29, 5 PM — quietOct 29, 8 PM — quietOct 29, 11 PM — quietOct 30, 2 AM — quietOct 30, 5 AM — quietOct 30, 8 AM — quietOct 30, 11 AM — quietOct 30, 2 PM — quietOct 30, 5 PM — quietOct 30, 8 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Oct 30, 11 PM — quietOct 31, 2 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Oct 31, 5 AM — quietOct 31, 8 AM — quietOct 31, 11 AM — quietOct 31, 2 PM — quietOct 31, 5 PM — quietOct 31, 8 PM — quietOct 31, 11 PM — quietNov 1, 1 AM — quietNov 1, 4 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Newswires 2Nov 1, 7 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Nov 1, 10 AM — 3 pieces · 3 articles — Newswires 3Nov 1, 1 PM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Nov 1, 4 PM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 2Nov 1, 7 PM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Newswires 1, Mastodon 1Nov 1, 10 PM — quietNov 2, 1 AM — quietNov 2, 4 AM — quietNov 2, 7 AM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Nov 2, 10 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Nov 2, 1 PM — quietNov 2, 4 PM — quietNov 2, 7 PM — quietNov 2, 10 PM — quietNov 3, 1 AM — quietNov 3, 4 AM — quietNov 3, 7 AM — quietNov 3, 10 AM — quietNov 3, 1 PM — quietNov 3, 4 PM — quietNov 3, 7 PM — quietNov 3, 10 PM — quietNov 4, 1 AM — quietNov 4, 4 AM — quietNov 4, 7 AM — quietNov 4, 10 AM — quietNov 4, 1 PM — quietNov 4, 4 PM — quietNov 4, 7 PM — quietNov 4, 10 PM — quietNov 5, 1 AM — quietNov 5, 4 AM — quietNov 5, 7 AM — quietNov 5, 10 AM — quietNov 5, 1 PM — quietNov 5, 4 PM — quietNov 5, 7 PM — quietNov 5, 10 PM — quietNov 6, 1 AM — quietNov 6, 4 AM — quietNov 6, 7 AM — quietNov 6, 10 AM — quietNov 6, 1 PM — quietNov 6, 4 PM — quietNov 6, 7 PM — quietNov 6, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietToday, 1 AM — quietToday, 4 AM — quietToday, 7 AM — quietToday, 10 AM — quiet 123
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6now · 12:52 PM ET
  1. 3

    US and Egyptian officials warn against a second round of war

    US Assistant Secretary Donald Blome told the Manama Dialogue diplomatic channels remain open but Washington is 'prepared to go in another direction'; Egypt's foreign minister Badr Abdelatty warned a second round of escalation would be more dangerous and lead nowhere.

    “We just can’t allow Iran to take this region and the global economy hostage.”
    — Donald Blome
    • https://www. europesays.com/unitedstates/85 809/ United Arab Emirates says military solutions offer no quick off-ramps to crisis with Iran # ArmedConflicts # Business # Diplomacy # f # GeneralNews # i # InternationalAgreements # IranWar # MilitaryAndDefense # Politics # Religion # UaeIranWarGulfDiplomacyBahrainForum # WarAndUnrest # WarNews #…

      UnitedStates@pubeurope.comMastodon6d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch
    • asiny@mstdn.ca

      Arab News | UAE says hoping for breakthrough yet ‘braced for the worst’ in Iran-US war https://www. arabnews.com/middle-east/uae-s ays-hoping-for-breakthrough-yet-braced-for-the-worst-in-iran-us-war-3009255

      asiny@mstdn.caMastodon6d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    all of them →
  2. background

    Gargash: UAE hopes for breakthrough but 'braced for the worst' — At the IISS Manama Dialogue in Bahrain, UAE presidential adviser Anwar Gargash said the UAE hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough but is prepared for the worst, warning that military solutions offer no quick off-ramps and that U.S. and Iranian positions remain far apart.

  3. 2

    Iran sends negotiators to Qatar for indirect US talks on Hormuz

    Following a Qatari delegation's visit to Tehran, Iran dispatched envoys to Doha for indirect negotiations on a proposal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz; Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said no direct talks with the US were underway and the outcome depends on US answers to Iran's questions.

    “diplomacy over other paths…”
    — Abbas Araghchi
  4. background

    Trump reiterates strike threat; Rubio says no decision made — In a KCMO radio interview Trump said the war 'will end soon' while insisting Iran must never have a nuclear weapon; Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Trump had not decided on new strikes and the US remained open to a diplomatic solution.

  5. 1

    ReportsQatar floats breakthrough as US warns Gulf states to prepare

    Qatari and Lebanese outlets reported a possible framework trading IAEA nuclear inspections for sanctions relief, while US network MS NOW said Washington told Gulf allies to prepare for a 'short and swift' resumption of strikes as early as Nov. 4, the day after US midterms.

    “It will end soon.”
    — Donald Trump, US President · source
    1. 1 outlet first by Ynetnews, 8d ago · read ↗

    • byteseu@pubeurope.com

      Diplomacy or war? Qatar signals Iran breakthrough as US warns Gulf states to prepare https://www. byteseu.com/2487486/ # Conflicts

      byteseu@pubeurope.comMastodon8d agoview on Mastodon ↗
  6. background

    US and Israel strike Iran, starting the war — The war began on February 28 with joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran, which retaliated by striking US-allied Gulf states, including more than 3,000 drone and missile attacks on the UAE before an April ceasefire.

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. first by Hindustan Times, 6d ago · also Japan Today, Philadelphia Inquirer, Orlando Sentinel

    1 more headline
  2. first by Khaleej Times, 6d ago · also Middle East Eye, Arab News

    1 more headline

and 2 smaller pieces

What people are saying 1 voices from 1 site · best of 4 · verbatim