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ClimateQuiet 5d · day 9

Second historic flood threatens Pagosa Springs as San Juan River forecast to shatter 1911 record

A week after flooding destroyed roads and bridges, forecasters warn Colorado's San Juan River could crest more than 4 feet above its historic 1911 peak, forcing new mass evacuations across the Southwest.

What to know

  • The San Juan River at Pagosa Springs is forecast to rise to 21.84 feet, more than 4 feet above the historic 1911 flood that destroyed much of the town.
  • This is the second major flood event in a week; the prior storm damaged about 540 homes and left 150 miles of roadway impassable.
  • More than 1,000 Archuleta County homes are under mandatory evacuation, with additional orders in San Juan and Conejos counties, Colorado, and near Oak Creek in Sedona, Arizona.
  • Saturated ground across the Southwest is increasing flash-flood risk even from moderate rainfall, with Arizona expected to receive two to three months' worth of rain in a matter of days.

“People have been mostly compliant because I do think they understand. And given the fact that we had a significant event last year, we do have the benefit of hindsight, at least for significantly high floodwaters.”

Mike Le Roux, Archuleta County Sheriff · Colorado Sun ↗ · Oct 31

Mike Le Roux Archuleta County SheriffCharles Balke Incident commander, flood response teamBrooke Scholtens NWS meteorologist, Grand Junction officeAllison Santorelli NWS meteorologist, Weather Prediction CenterArchuleta County Sheriff's Office Local emergency authority

Second historic flood threatens Pagosa Springs as San Juan River forecast to shatter 1911 record
coloradosun.com

How it unfolded 7 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

Peak 6 pieces in two hours at Oct 31, 3 PM; 55 pieces over 9 days (35 articles · 2 videos · 17 posts · 1 comment) Oct 30, 3 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Oct 30, 5 PM — quietOct 30, 7 PM — quietOct 30, 9 PM — quietOct 30, 11 PM — quietOct 31, 1 AM — quietOct 31, 3 AM — quietOct 31, 5 AM — quietOct 31, 7 AM — quietOct 31, 9 AM — quietOct 31, 11 AM — quietOct 31, 1 PM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 2Oct 31, 3 PM — 6 pieces · 6 articles — Google News 4, Newswires 2Oct 31, 5 PM — quietOct 31, 7 PM — quietOct 31, 9 PM — quietOct 31, 11 PM — quietNov 1, 1 AM — quietNov 1, 2 AM — quietNov 1, 4 AM — quietNov 1, 6 AM — quietNov 1, 8 AM — 3 pieces · 3 articles — Google News 3Nov 1, 10 AM — 5 pieces · 4 articles · 1 post — Google News 2, Mastodon 2, Newswires 1Nov 1, 12 PM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Newswires 2Nov 1, 2 PM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Mastodon 1, Google News 1, Newswires 1Nov 1, 4 PM — quietNov 1, 6 PM — 6 pieces · 3 articles · 3 posts — Google News 2, Hacker News 1, Mastodon 1, +2 moreNov 1, 8 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Nov 1, 10 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Nov 2, 12 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Nov 2, 2 AM — 3 pieces · 1 video · 1 post · 1 comment — YouTube 1, Mastodon 1, Reddit 1Nov 2, 4 AM — quietNov 2, 6 AM — 5 pieces · 2 articles · 3 posts — Bluesky 2, Newswires 2, Mastodon 1Nov 2, 8 AM — quietNov 2, 10 AM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Newswires 2, Mastodon 1Nov 2, 12 PM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Newswires 1, X 1Nov 2, 2 PM — 5 pieces · 3 articles · 2 posts — Mastodon 2, Newswires 2, Google News 1Nov 2, 4 PM — 2 pieces · 2 posts — Mastodon 1, X 1Nov 2, 6 PM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Nov 2, 8 PM — quietNov 2, 10 PM — quietNov 3, 12 AM — quietNov 3, 2 AM — quietNov 3, 4 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Nov 3, 6 AM — 1 piece · 1 video — YouTube 1Nov 3, 8 AM — quietNov 3, 10 AM — quietNov 3, 12 PM — quietNov 3, 2 PM — quietNov 3, 4 PM — quietNov 3, 6 PM — quietNov 3, 8 PM — quietNov 3, 10 PM — quietNov 4, 12 AM — quietNov 4, 2 AM — quietNov 4, 4 AM — quietNov 4, 6 AM — quietNov 4, 8 AM — quietNov 4, 10 AM — quietNov 4, 12 PM — quietNov 4, 2 PM — quietNov 4, 4 PM — quietNov 4, 6 PM — quietNov 4, 8 PM — quietNov 4, 10 PM — quietNov 5, 12 AM — quietNov 5, 2 AM — quietNov 5, 4 AM — quietNov 5, 6 AM — quietNov 5, 8 AM — quietNov 5, 10 AM — quietNov 5, 12 PM — quietNov 5, 2 PM — quietNov 5, 4 PM — quietNov 5, 6 PM — quietNov 5, 8 PM — quietNov 5, 10 PM — quietNov 6, 12 AM — quietNov 6, 2 AM — quietNov 6, 4 AM — quietNov 6, 6 AM — quietNov 6, 8 AM — quietNov 6, 10 AM — quietNov 6, 12 PM — quietNov 6, 2 PM — quietNov 6, 4 PM — quietNov 6, 6 PM — quietNov 6, 8 PM — quietNov 6, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 12 AM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 6 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 12 PM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 6 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietToday, 12 AM — quietToday, 2 AM — quietToday, 4 AM — quietToday, 6 AM — quietToday, 8 AM — quietToday, 10 AM — quiet 1–23–7
Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6yesterdaynow · 12:37 PM ET
  1. 7

    AP issues dire warning for Pagosa Springs as flooding continues

    Updated AP coverage described a dire warning for the Colorado spa town of Pagosa Springs as flash flooding persisted across the Southwest region.

    1. first by AP News, 6d ago · also KSL News, Philadelphia Inquirer, Boston Globe, ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos, Toronto Star, Yahoo +3

      5 more headlines
    • Millions are in danger as a flash flood emergency unfolds across the Southwest. Raging water swept through communities from Arizona to Colorado, triggering mandatory evacuations and shutting down highways.

      @ABCX5d ago36▲view on X ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 6 posts in this stretch
    • mikerass.bsky.social

      Extreme flash flooding triggers evacuations in the Southwest and a dire warning for a Colorado spa town

      mikerass.bsky.socialBluesky6d ago1▲view on Bluesky ↗
    • BakerRL75@m.ai6yr.org

      # SevereWeather # Flooding # AZwx # NMwx # COwx From AP News.com: Flash flooding triggers evacuations in Southwest and dire warning for Colorado spa town https:// apnews.com/article/sedona-ariz ona-pagosa-springs-colorado-southwest-flooding-bb4bb89daf78484fb97496dfd88c4a10?utm_source=app&utm_medium=iOS_share&utm_campaign=more_org_joinmastodon_app_s…

      BakerRL75@m.ai6yr.orgMastodon6d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    all of them →
  2. 6

    APArizona facing two to three months of rain in days

    The Associated Press reported that flash flooding had triggered mandatory evacuation orders across Arizona, Colorado, Utah and New Mexico, with a meteorologist noting Arizona would get roughly two to three months' worth of rain in a couple of days.

    1. first by Santa Fe New Mexican, 7d ago

  3. 5

    River rises faster than forecast, could crest hours early

    The San Juan River through Pagosa Springs was rising faster than anticipated and was projected to crest as early as 6 p.m.—five hours earlier than expected—at up to 19.71 feet.

    • coloradosun@mstdn.social

      The San Juan River, which flows through Pagosa Springs, is rising faster than anticipated and could crest as early as 6 p.m., five hours earlier than expected, at a height of up to 19.71 feet. https:// coloradosun.com/2026/11/01/ano ther-storm-southwest-colorado-flooding-evacuations/

      coloradosun@mstdn.socialMastodon6d agoview on Mastodon ↗
  4. 4

    Sedona, Arizona orders immediate evacuations near Oak Creek

    Rising floodwaters near Oak Creek in Sedona prompted officials to order residents to leave immediately, with multiple people reported trapped in their homes.

  5. 3

    Forecast revised: San Juan River could top 1911 record by 4 feet

    A new forecast put the San Juan River's crest at 21.84 feet, more than 4 feet above the 1911 flood that wiped out much of Pagosa Springs; more than 1,000 Archuleta County homes were under mandatory evacuation, and San Juan County ordered evacuations near the La Plata, San Juan and Animas rivers.

    “We can do a lot of door-to-door knocking and try to make contact with as many people as possible. But we can't guarantee that once people left, that they did not go back into their home.”
    — Sheriff Mike Le Roux, Archuleta County
  6. 2

    Archuleta County, Colorado orders evacuations ahead of second flood

    Officials urged residents to evacuate Saturday as the San Juan River was forecast to crest at 16.9 feet, nearly 2 feet higher than the prior week's flood that damaged about 540 homes and left 150 miles of roadway impassable.

    “Those who have chosen not to evacuate should expect higher water levels than last week and must be prepared to safely shelter in place for the duration of the storm…”
    — Archuleta County Sheriff's Office
    1. first by The New York Times, 7d ago · also Colorado Public Radio, Denver7

      2 more headlines
    2. first by Denver Post, 7d ago

  7. 1

    NWS issues flood watches across saturated Southwest

    The National Weather Service warned of flash flooding risk across nearly all of Arizona, southern Utah, southwestern Colorado and western New Mexico as a new storm approached already-saturated ground; rescues had already occurred in Phoenix, Scottsdale and Henderson, Nevada.

    “It's not going to take much rainfall to be impactful at all in some of these locations just because of how saturated they are…”
    — Allison Santorelli, NWS meteorologist
    1. first by NBC News, 7d ago · also Philadelphia Inquirer, AP News, The Spec

      1 more headline
    2. first by KOAT, 6d ago

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. first by Guardian, 6d ago · also Denver Post, Guardian US

    1 more headline
  2. first by Mastodon, 7d ago · also Colorado Sun

and 6 smaller pieces

What people are saying 3 voices from 3 sites · best of 7 · verbatim