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AIQuiet 10d · day 10

SemiAnalysis launches GDPx, a tougher agentic AI benchmark

New benchmark testing frontier models on high-value domains finds even the top model scores just 12%.

What to know

  • GDPx targets high-ROI economic domains rather than broad GDP- or occupation-weighted coverage, under the premise that AI revenue will concentrate in a few sectors.
  • Even the top-scoring model reaches only about 12% overall, underscoring the benchmark's difficulty relative to prior tests like GDPval.
  • Built-in safety classifiers in Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Astra suppress scores on cyber, biology, and alignment tasks, meaning raw rankings understate true capability in those areas.
  • SemiAnalysis positions GDPx as a needed successor to OpenAI's September 2025 GDPval, which it argues was designed before agentic models existed and is now inadequate.

SemiAnalysis Benchmark creator and publisherOpenAI Developer of GPT-6 AstraAnthropic Developer of Opus 5.5Google Developer of Gemini 4 Carbon

SemiAnalysis launches GDPx, a tougher agentic AI benchmark
x.com

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump posts

Peak 6 pieces in 3h at Nov 1, 8 PM; 14 pieces over 10 days (5 articles · 9 posts) Nov 1, 8 PM — 6 pieces · 4 articles · 2 posts — Google News 4, X 1, Hacker News 1Nov 1, 11 PM — 6 pieces · 1 article · 5 posts — X 3, Mastodon 1, Newswires 1, +1 moreNov 2, 2 AM — quietNov 2, 5 AM — quietNov 2, 8 AM — quietNov 2, 11 AM — quietNov 2, 2 PM — quietNov 2, 5 PM — quietNov 2, 8 PM — quietNov 2, 11 PM — quietNov 3, 2 AM — quietNov 3, 5 AM — quietNov 3, 8 AM — quietNov 3, 11 AM — quietNov 3, 2 PM — quietNov 3, 5 PM — quietNov 3, 8 PM — quietNov 3, 11 PM — quietNov 4, 2 AM — quietNov 4, 5 AM — quietNov 4, 8 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Hacker News 1Nov 4, 11 AM — quietNov 4, 2 PM — quietNov 4, 5 PM — quietNov 4, 8 PM — quietNov 4, 11 PM — quietNov 5, 2 AM — quietNov 5, 5 AM — quietNov 5, 8 AM — quietNov 5, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 post — Hacker News 1Nov 5, 2 PM — quietNov 5, 5 PM — quietNov 5, 8 PM — quietNov 5, 11 PM — quietNov 6, 2 AM — quietNov 6, 5 AM — quietNov 6, 8 AM — quietNov 6, 11 AM — quietNov 6, 2 PM — quietNov 6, 5 PM — quietNov 6, 8 PM — quietNov 6, 11 PM — quietNov 7, 2 AM — quietNov 7, 5 AM — quietNov 7, 8 AM — quietNov 7, 11 AM — quietNov 7, 2 PM — quietNov 7, 5 PM — quietNov 7, 8 PM — quietNov 7, 11 PM — quietNov 8, 2 AM — quietNov 8, 5 AM — quietNov 8, 8 AM — quietNov 8, 11 AM — quietNov 8, 2 PM — quietNov 8, 5 PM — quietNov 8, 8 PM — quietNov 8, 11 PM — quietNov 9, 2 AM — quietNov 9, 5 AM — quietNov 9, 8 AM — quietNov 9, 11 AM — quietNov 9, 2 PM — quietNov 9, 5 PM — quietNov 9, 8 PM — quietNov 9, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 2 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 8 AM — quietYesterday, 11 AM — quietYesterday, 2 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 8 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 2 AM — quietToday, 5 AM — quietToday, 8 AM — quietToday, 11 AM — quietToday, 2 PM — quietToday, 5 PM — quiet 1–2
Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8Nov 9yesterdaynow · 8:40 PM ET
  1. 2

    SemiAnalysis argues GDPval is outdated for agentic models

    The newsletter argued that OpenAI's GDPval, released September 2025 and still widely cited on model release cards, predates the agentic era and is poorly suited to evaluating current frontier models, motivating GDPx's design.

    “GDPval may have been marketed as a “knowledge work” benchmark, but agents weren’t really even a thing yet.”
    — SemiAnalysis
    • Super interesting Benchmark. GDPx measures how well AI agents handle 206 challenging tasks across 11 economically valuable fields, including chip design, software engineering, finance, and biology. But here's the interesting part: Opus 5.5 wins with 12%, closely followed by Gemini 4 Carbon with 10...

      @kimmonismusX9d agoview on X ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 3 posts in this stretch
    • SemiAnalysis just released GDPx, a new benchmark for measuring agentic capabilities across some of the most economically valuable domains. Crazy to see Opus 5.5 at the top with just 12.0%, followed by Google's upcoming Gemini Carbon at 10.9%.

      @ai_for_successX9d agoview on X ↗
    • Today we're releasing GDPx, a benchmark for measuring agentic capabilities across the most valuable domains. GDPx is a true frontier-level benchmark: even the best model scores just 12% (1/7)🧵

      @semianalysis_X9d agoview on X ↗
    all of them →
  2. background

    Report finds safety classifiers suppress scores on cyber, bio, alignment — SemiAnalysis found that models including Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Astra underperform on overall GDPx scores because built-in safety classifiers throttle outputs in cyber, biology, and alignment tasks, and that excluding those domains reorders the rankings.

  3. background

    SemiAnalysis details GDPx methodology and model rankings — A companion newsletter explained that GDPx focuses on high-ROI domains rather than broad occupational coverage, and published per-domain results showing Opus 5.5, Gemini 4 Carbon, and GPT-6 Astra each leading different categories.

  4. 1

    SemiAnalysis unveils GDPx benchmark on X

    SemiAnalysis announced GDPx, a new benchmark for measuring agentic AI capabilities across what it considers the most economically valuable domains, noting the best model scores only 12% (1/7).

    “GDPx is a true frontier-level benchmark: even the best model scores just 12% (1/7)…”
    — @SemiAnalysis_
    • Today we’re releasing GDPx, a benchmark for measuring agentic capabilities across the most valuable domains. GDPx is a true frontier-level benchmark: even the best model scores just 12% (1/7)🧵

      @SemiAnalysis_X9d ago939▲view on X ↗

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