Oracle raises $20B in debt and stock after pledging restraint, stock drops 9%
Just five days after promising fiscal discipline, Oracle completed its entire planned capital raise for four years in a single day, sparking investor retreat.
What to know
- Oracle raised its entire four-year capital plan ($20B) in a single day, just five days after pledging to pace fundraising through fiscal 2030, triggering a 9% stock collapse.
- The company's debt burden is now critical: $125 billion owed, nearly double shareholder equity, with annual cash burn of $24 billion—driving credit concerns and higher borrowing costs.
- Market pricing signals growing skepticism about Oracle's financial stability compared to peers: default insurance costs five times more than Microsoft's, and its bonds yield 8.4% versus 6.1% for comparable Microsoft/Apple debt.
- Credit agencies maintained ratings but signaled caution: Fitch expects no more major raises; Moody's kept a negative outlook suggesting downgrade risk remains real.
“the AI adults in the room, the company that's really done this with the least collateral damage to their balance sheet”
Daniel Newman, Futurum CEO · Yahoo Finance ↗
Oracle Technology company raising capitalDaniel Newman Futurum CEO, analystFitch Credit rating agencyMoody's Credit rating agency
How it unfolded 1 development · click the chart to see its coverage articlesposts
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Credit markets signal growing concerns about Oracle's debt load
Credit default swap pricing shows it costs five times as much to insure Oracle's debt as Microsoft's. Oracle's 2066 bonds yield 8.4%, compared to 6.1% for Microsoft and Apple bonds. The company burned through $24 billion in cash last fiscal year and carries $125 billion in debt, nearly double shareholder equity.
“It costs about five times as much to insure Oracle's debt against default as Microsoft's.”
— Yahoo Finance -
first by Yahoo Finance, 10d ago
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Oracle stock falls 9%, wiping out investor-day gains — Oracle shares decline 9% to their lowest close since July 29, erasing the previous week's 11% pop. Over three trading sessions, the stock is down 18%, its worst three-day stretch since 2002.
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Oracle completes $20 billion capital raise in single day — Oracle launches a $10 billion bond sale and simultaneously files to sell $10 billion in stock, fulfilling its entire four-year capital plan in one trading session. This reverses the pacing promised just five days earlier.
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Analyst contrasts Oracle's AI spending trajectory with Microsoft's financial discipline — Futurum CEO Daniel Newman characterizes Microsoft as having managed AI expansion with stronger financial stewardship compared to Oracle's aggressive borrowing.
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Rating agencies affirm Oracle but signal caution — Fitch maintains Oracle's BBB rating (two notches above junk) and states it does not expect material additional capital raises. Moody's affirms its rating but keeps outlook negative, indicating downgrade risk remains.
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Oracle pledges to pace capital raises through fiscal 2030 — At its investor day, Oracle commits to managing its fundraising over the next four years, promising fiscal discipline to investors.