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PoliticsQuiet 5d · day 12

Alaska 'Spoiler' Feud and Tight Races Leave Senate Control Up for Grabs on Election Day

A namesake independent candidate, a Trump-ordered DOJ lawsuit and razor-thin polling could decide which party controls the chamber.

newest coverage 5d agosummary written 5d ago230 pieces100 likes & upvotes1 comments MastodonNewswiresYouTubeGoogle NewsBlueskyReddit

Part of a larger narrative

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What to know

  • Democrats must flip a net of four Senate seats to win the majority, a steeper climb than their expected House gains; most forecasts list seven to nine races as toss-ups.
  • Alaska's race is roiled by an independent candidate who shares incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's name; the New York Times reported Democratic aides recruited him as part of a 'ballot composition project.'
  • Trump has called the Alaska candidacy 'cheating' and ordered the Justice Department to prepare a lawsuit to block certification if the Republican loses, though legal experts question its standing.
  • Analysts, including the New York Times, say a narrow outcome could produce a tied Senate or hinge on party switches and independents, making the final makeup hard to predict even after votes are counted.

Donald TrumpDonald Trump U.S. PresidentDan S. SullivanDan S. Sullivan Incumbent Republican senator, AlaskaMary PeltolaMary Peltola Democratic Senate nominee, AlaskaDaniel J. Sullivan, Jr. Independent/unaffiliated Senate candidate, AlaskaRoy CooperRoy Cooper Democratic Senate nominee, North Carolina

Alaska 'Spoiler' Feud and Tight Races Leave Senate Control Up for Grabs on Election Day
aljazeera.com

How it unfolded 5 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesvideosposts

Peak 67 pieces in 3h at Nov 3, 4 AM; 230 pieces over 12 days (170 articles · 9 videos · 51 posts) Oct 27, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Oct 27, 2 PM — 3 pieces · 1 article · 1 video · 1 post — YouTube 1, Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Oct 27, 5 PM — quietOct 27, 8 PM — quietOct 27, 11 PM — quietOct 28, 2 AM — quietOct 28, 5 AM — quietOct 28, 8 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Oct 28, 11 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Newswires 2Oct 28, 2 PM — quietOct 28, 5 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Oct 28, 8 PM — quietOct 28, 11 PM — quietOct 29, 2 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Oct 29, 5 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Oct 29, 8 AM — quietOct 29, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 video — YouTube 1Oct 29, 2 PM — quietOct 29, 5 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Oct 29, 8 PM — quietOct 29, 11 PM — quietOct 30, 2 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 1, Newswires 1Oct 30, 5 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Oct 30, 8 AM — quietOct 30, 11 AM — quietOct 30, 2 PM — quietOct 30, 5 PM — quietOct 30, 8 PM — quietOct 30, 11 PM — quietOct 31, 2 AM — quietOct 31, 5 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 2Oct 31, 8 AM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Newswires 1, Mastodon 1, Google News 1Oct 31, 11 AM — 3 pieces · 3 articles — Newswires 2, Google News 1Oct 31, 2 PM — quietOct 31, 5 PM — quietOct 31, 8 PM — quietOct 31, 11 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Nov 1, 1 AM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Newswires 2, Mastodon 1Nov 1, 4 AM — quietNov 1, 7 AM — 2 pieces · 2 articles — Google News 2Nov 1, 10 AM — 6 pieces · 5 articles · 1 post — Google News 3, Newswires 2, Mastodon 1Nov 1, 1 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Nov 1, 4 PM — quietNov 1, 7 PM — 3 pieces · 3 articles — Google News 3Nov 1, 10 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Nov 2, 1 AM — 6 pieces · 6 articles — Google News 6Nov 2, 4 AM — 14 pieces · 11 articles · 3 posts — Newswires 6, Google News 5, Mastodon 3Nov 2, 7 AM — 8 pieces · 8 articles — Google News 7, Newswires 1Nov 2, 10 AM — 11 pieces · 9 articles · 2 posts — Google News 5, Newswires 4, Mastodon 2Nov 2, 1 PM — 8 pieces · 7 articles · 1 video — Google News 5, Newswires 2, YouTube 1Nov 2, 4 PM — 6 pieces · 5 articles · 1 post — Newswires 3, Google News 2, Mastodon 1Nov 2, 7 PM — 10 pieces · 9 articles · 1 video — Google News 8, Newswires 1, YouTube 1Nov 2, 10 PM — 11 pieces · 9 articles · 2 posts — Newswires 6, Google News 3, Mastodon 2Nov 3, 1 AM — 22 pieces · 9 articles · 2 videos · 11 posts — Mastodon 12, Newswires 7, YouTube 2, +1 moreNov 3, 4 AM — 67 pieces · 48 articles · 1 video · 18 posts — Newswires 32, Mastodon 20, Google News 14, +1 moreNov 3, 7 AM — 24 pieces · 13 articles · 2 videos · 9 posts — Newswires 10, Mastodon 5, Google News 3, +3 moreNov 3, 10 AM — 3 pieces · 2 articles · 1 post — Google News 1, Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Nov 3, 1 PM — quietNov 3, 4 PM — quietNov 3, 7 PM — quietNov 3, 10 PM — quietNov 4, 1 AM — quietNov 4, 4 AM — quietNov 4, 7 AM — quietNov 4, 10 AM — quietNov 4, 1 PM — quietNov 4, 4 PM — quietNov 4, 7 PM — quietNov 4, 10 PM — quietNov 5, 1 AM — quietNov 5, 4 AM — quietNov 5, 7 AM — quietNov 5, 10 AM — quietNov 5, 1 PM — quietNov 5, 4 PM — quietNov 5, 7 PM — quietNov 5, 10 PM — quietNov 6, 1 AM — quietNov 6, 4 AM — quietNov 6, 7 AM — quietNov 6, 10 AM — quietNov 6, 1 PM — quietNov 6, 4 PM — quietNov 6, 7 PM — quietNov 6, 10 PM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 4 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 10 AM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 4 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 10 PM — quietToday, 1 AM — quietToday, 4 AM — quietToday, 7 AM — quietToday, 10 AM — quiet 12345
Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6now · 11:26 AM ET
  1. 5

    Final scorecards identify seven to nine toss-up Senate races

    On the eve of Election Day, outlets converged on a list of decisive contests — Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas among them — with Democrats needing to flip four seats and holding an outright lead only in North Carolina.

    1. 19 outlets US midterms 2026 live: Final day of campaigning

      first by BBC, 5d ago · also Financial Times, NPR News, ABC News, NDTV, Euronews, ABC7 New York +12

      20 more headlines
    2. 12 outlets 2026 US midterms: A quick guide to understanding the midterm elections

      first by Le Monde.fr, 5d ago · also Japan Times, Fox News, Guardian, CBS News, The Hill, CNN +5

      14 more headlines
    3 more claims →
    • stphnfwlr.com

      In the last few weeks I’ve driven ~2,000 miles across five states that weren’t in anyone’s original bingo cards for their likely roles in deciding control of Congress. Here’s the setup you need to know for Election Day on today’s @npr.org Up First:

      stphnfwlr.comBluesky5d ago8▲view on Bluesky ↗
    2 more of the top 3 · 15 posts in this stretch
    • GeoWire@mastodon.social

      🟠 UPDATE US Midterm Elections Held as Referendum on Trump The election is held on Tuesday, November 3. It serves as a referendum on Donald Trump's second term agenda and his popularity. Democrats are targeting historic victories in traditionally Republican seats due to the President's unpopularity, despite Trump not being on the ballot. 📰…

      GeoWire@mastodon.socialMastodon5d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    • ssrsresearch.bsky.social

      Michel Martin of @npr.org talks to David Wasserman of @cookpolitical.com about what races could potentially predict how election night unfolds. The interview also touches on the accuracy of exit polling in general and the work SSRS is doing.

      ssrsresearch.bsky.socialBluesky5d agoview on Bluesky ↗
    all of them →
  2. 4

    NYT lays out tie and wild-card scenarios for a post-election Senate

    A New York Times analysis by Carl Hulse examined how a likely slim majority could produce an evenly split Senate, party switches or independent kingmakers determining control after the votes are counted.

    “The likelihood of a slim majority leaves room for several hard-to-predict scenarios that could affect the balance of power.”
    — New York Times
    1. 9 outlets 2026 midterm election results live: Poll closing times and key races

      first by MS NOW, 7d ago · also CT Mirror, AP News, NBC News, KCCI, The Boston Globe, Sydney Morning Herald +2

      10 more headlines
    2. 6 outlets US midterm elections: The six key factors to watch as Americans vote to decide control of Congress

      first by Firstpost, 6d ago · also Straits Times, The Detroit News, Reuters, Investing.com News, Yahoo

      2 more headlines
    1 more claim →
    • GiftArticles@tomkahe.com

      What Time Do Polls Close? Midterm Elections 2026 (Gift Article) https://www. nytimes.com/interactive/2026/1 1/02/us/elections/polls-closing-time-midterm-elections.html?unlocked_article_code=1.NVE.B_td.GgBJtB0YgV6A&smid=nytcore-ios-share

      GiftArticles@tomkahe.comMastodon5d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch

    • https://www. europesays.com/unitedstates/85 659/ 2026 US Midterm Election Results: Live Map and Vote Counts # Elections # Elections &Voting # Page :Graphic # PredictionMarkets # Region :Global # SecondaryBrand :Politics # Voting

      UnitedStates@pubeurope.comMastodon6d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    all of them →
  3. 1 day quiet
  4. 3

    Polling shows Democrats leading in nearly all major Senate races

    As prediction-market odds narrowed in several contests, new polling averages showed Democratic candidates ahead in almost every major Senate battleground days before the election.

    1. 4 outlets Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrats Lead All 7 Key Senate Contests

      first by Forbes, 6d ago · also Yahoo, Indian Express, ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation

      3 more headlines
    2. 2 outlets Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrats Lead Almost All Major Senate Contests

      first by Forbes, 8d ago · also Harvard Political Review

      2 more headlines
    1 more claim →
  5. 1 day quiet
  6. 2

    Examiner profiles four spoiler candidates who could tip Senate control

    The Washington Examiner detailed third-party and doppelganger candidates in Alaska, Iowa, Ohio and Texas whom Republicans fear could siphon enough votes to hand the Senate majority to Democrats.

    “It's just cheating. They're terrible. They found a guy named Dan Sullivan. They put him up to get a little confused. And actually, by mistake, he got 2.4%. That's a lot. That's too much. That could be the difference.”
    — Donald Trump, U.S. President · source

    1. 1 outlet first by Washington Examiner, 10d ago · read ↗

  7. 1

    NYT reveals Peltola aides' 'ballot composition project'

    The New York Times reported that in 2025 aides to Democratic nominee Mary Peltola combed Alaska for people named 'Dan Sullivan' and encouraged one, a retired schoolteacher, to enter the race, citing texts and 12 interviews; the practice is not illegal.

  8. background

    Trump confirms he ordered DOJ to sue over Alaska race — Trump told reporters over the weekend that he had directed the Justice Department to prepare a lawsuit seeking to block certification of the Alaska Senate results if the Republican incumbent does not win; legal experts questioned the suit's standing.

  9. background

    Trump calls Alaska spoiler candidacy 'cheating' at Wasilla rally — At an Oct. 13 rally, President Trump accused Democrats of orchestrating the candidacy of a man who shares the name of incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan to split the Republican vote under Alaska's ranked-choice system.

Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet

  1. 5 outlets Election night 2026: Poll closing times and what to watch, hour by hour

    first by MS NOW, 5d ago · also NPR, NYT Politics, Philadelphia Inquirer, The Washington Post

    4 more headlines
  2. 5 outlets How to watch election night: Key races, poll closing times, bellwether campaigns and more

    first by NBC News, 6d ago · also CNN, NPR News, Wall Street Journal, Cook Political Report

    4 more headlines
  3. 3 outlets 2026 midterm elections live: How to vote, what to know before Election Day

    first by MS NOW, 6d ago · also Politico, The Washington Post

    2 more headlines
  4. 3 outlets What early voting does and doesn’t tell us about the 2026 midterms

    first by USA Today, 7d ago · also CNN, KRDO

    1 more headline
  5. 2 outlets The states to watch in America’s midterm elections

    first by The Economist, 5d ago · also Times of India

    1 more headline
  6. 2 outlets Listen: What’s at stake for Europe in the US midterms?

    first by EUobserver, 5d ago · also ABC News

    1 more headline
  7. 2 outlets Americans to vote in US midterms: Trump's Republicans scramble to stop Democratic wave

    first by France 24 EN, 5d ago · also Bangkok Post

    1 more headline
  8. 2 outlets Live: US prepares for voting as polls predict close midterm races

    first by ABC Australia, 5d ago · also ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation

  9. 2 outlets US election results time: When will midterm polls winners be declared on Tuesday night? Check exact timing

    first by The Economic Times, 7d ago · also RFI

    1 more headline
  10. 2 outlets US midterms 2026 live: Final day of campaigning - follow latest

    first by BBC, 6d ago · also WDSU

    1 more headline

and 22 smaller pieces

What people are saying 12 voices from 1 site · best of 17 · verbatim