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Charlie Cook Predicts a GOP 'Beating' Based on NYT Senate Polls

42-year forecaster Charlie Cook says new NYT polls showing big Democratic leads in seven Senate races are close to accurate.

newest coverage 4d agosummary written 4d ago10 pieces11 likes & upvotes MastodonNewswiresGoogle NewsReddit

What to know

  • Charlie Cook, forecasting elections since 1984, says he has never seen a race like this one, calling it a 'unicorn election.'
  • He endorses New York Times polls showing Democrats leading in seven Senate races (Michigan, Texas, Maine, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska, Iowa) as 'gold standard.'
  • Cook attributes the shift to a turn against the incumbent party's candidates beginning around July-August and cites disaffected GOP voters.
  • The interview comes on Election Day itself, ahead of results in the named Senate races.

“I've been calling this the unicorn election.”

Charlie Cook, Election forecaster · The Daily Blast transcript, New Republic ↗ · Nov 2

Charlie CookCharlie Cook Veteran election forecaster, founder of Cook Political ReportGreg Sargent Host, The Daily Blast podcast (The New Republic)The New York Times PollsterDonald TrumpDonald Trump President, subject of the forecast

Charlie Cook Predicts a GOP 'Beating' Based on NYT Senate Polls
newrepublic.com

How it unfolded 2 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlesposts

Peak 3 pieces in two hours at Nov 3, 7 AM; 9 pieces over 6 days (4 articles · 5 posts) Nov 2, 9 PM — 1 piece · 1 article — Google News 1Nov 2, 11 PM — quietNov 3, 1 AM — quietNov 3, 3 AM — 2 pieces · 1 article · 1 post — Mastodon 1, Newswires 1Nov 3, 5 AM — quietNov 3, 7 AM — 3 pieces · 1 article · 2 posts — Mastodon 2, Newswires 1Nov 3, 9 AM — quietNov 3, 11 AM — 1 piece · 1 article — Newswires 1Nov 3, 1 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Reddit 1Nov 3, 3 PM — quietNov 3, 5 PM — 1 piece · 1 post — Mastodon 1Nov 3, 7 PM — quietNov 3, 9 PM — quietNov 3, 11 PM — quietNov 4, 1 AM — quietNov 4, 3 AM — quietNov 4, 5 AM — quietNov 4, 7 AM — quietNov 4, 9 AM — quietNov 4, 11 AM — quietNov 4, 1 PM — quietNov 4, 3 PM — quietNov 4, 5 PM — quietNov 4, 7 PM — quietNov 4, 9 PM — quietNov 4, 11 PM — quietNov 5, 1 AM — quietNov 5, 3 AM — quietNov 5, 5 AM — quietNov 5, 7 AM — quietNov 5, 9 AM — quietNov 5, 11 AM — quietNov 5, 1 PM — quietNov 5, 3 PM — quietNov 5, 5 PM — quietNov 5, 7 PM — quietNov 5, 9 PM — quietNov 5, 11 PM — quietNov 6, 1 AM — quietNov 6, 3 AM — quietNov 6, 5 AM — quietNov 6, 7 AM — quietNov 6, 9 AM — quietNov 6, 11 AM — quietNov 6, 1 PM — quietNov 6, 3 PM — quietNov 6, 5 PM — quietNov 6, 7 PM — quietNov 6, 9 PM — quietNov 6, 11 PM — quietYesterday, 1 AM — quietYesterday, 3 AM — quietYesterday, 5 AM — quietYesterday, 7 AM — quietYesterday, 9 AM — quietYesterday, 11 AM — quietYesterday, 1 PM — quietYesterday, 3 PM — quietYesterday, 5 PM — quietYesterday, 7 PM — quietYesterday, 9 PM — quietYesterday, 11 PM — quietToday, 1 AM — quietToday, 3 AM — quietToday, 5 AM — quietToday, 7 AM — quietToday, 9 AM — quiet 1–2
Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6yesterdaynow · 11:25 AM ET
  1. 2

    Cook transcript details support for NYT's seven-state polls

    The published transcript shows Cook endorsing New York Times polls that put Democratic Senate candidates ahead in Michigan, Texas, Maine, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska and Iowa, calling the Times' polling 'gold standard' and saying the race turned sharply against Republicans starting around July-August.

    “Yes, I think they are gold standard. Absolutely.”
    — Charlie Cook

    • In an interview, Charlie Cook, who’s been doing political prognostication since 1984, says he’s never seen anything quite like this election. And he expects a Trump-GOP “ass-whupping.”

      newrepublic@threads.netMastodon5d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    1 more of the top 2 · 2 posts in this stretch
    • rayknyc@mastodon.online

      [The DSR Network] The Daily Blast: He’s Been Forecasting for 42 Years. He Predicts a Crushing GOP Defeat. https:// podcastaddict.com/the-dsr-netw ork/episode/247484026 via @PodcastAddict

      rayknyc@mastodon.onlineMastodon5d agoview on Mastodon ↗
    all of them →
  2. 1

    New Republic publishes Cook interview teasing GOP 'beating'

    The New Republic's Daily Blast podcast releases an interview in which 42-year forecaster Charlie Cook says he expects the GOP to take a 'hell of a beating' this midterm, citing a 'red undertow' and disaffected GOP voters.

    1. 2 outlets Transcript: Why This Veteran Election Forecaster Expects GOP “Beating”

      first by New Republic, 4d ago · also The New Republic

    2. 1 outlet He’s Been Forecasting for 42 Years. He Predicts a Crushing GOP Defeat.

      first by New Republic, 5d ago

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