Quinnipiac poll: Democrats lead by 11 points for House control
New nationwide survey also finds Trump's disapproval rating at 59% amid ballroom, Lake America and Iran war controversies.
Part of a larger narrative
Trump's 2024 Approval Crisis
- Trump approval hits career-low 32% as Republicans sour on cost of living
- Senate again rejects Iran war powers resolution, 49-50, as GOP wavers on gas prices
- Republicans privately say they're doomed in midterms as gas prices soar
- GOP candidates distance themselves from Trump six weeks before midterms
- Rural voters face backlash against Trump policies weeks before midterms
What to know
- Quinnipiac's Sept. 3-6 survey of 970 registered voters gives Democrats a 49%-38% edge for House control, two months before the midterms.
- Trump's disapproval rating hit 59%, with his worst-ever Quinnipiac marks on the economy, military leadership and the Russia-Ukraine war.
- Majorities disapprove of Trump's White House ballroom (60%) and the Lake Ontario-to-'Lake America' renaming (70%), and oppose his Canada trade approach (62%).
- Voters are split on Iran war strategy, with only 39% favoring the administration's current approach of holding forces there while negotiating.
The dispute Whether the 11-point Democratic lead is a strong sign heading into the midterms or an underwhelming result given Trump's low approval ratings. · positions read across 5 posts and comments
An 11-point lead is disappointingly small given how unpopular Trump and his agenda appear to be.
-
“Only 11 points? WTF would the republicans have to do to sway so many tens of millions of you WHO STILL SUPPORT THIS AGENDA? Commit genocide on republicans?”
u/The7footr · reddit ↗
Don't get complacent — two months is a long time and Trump could still disrupt the race.
-
“Good shit but we still have 2 months...im not counting any chickens before they hatch Even beyond possible tightening of polls who knows what shenanigans Trump could have planned especially with all the USPS bs going on”
u/blues111 · reddit ↗
Even a Democratic win in the midterms won't change much because Democrats won't act decisively.
-
“It will be a bloodbath and then the Dems will do nothing with it but pass "affordability" messaging bills while Trump keeps looting and turning DC into rubble.”
u/OnlyMamaKnows · reddit ↗
“In the seventh month of the Iran war, the options range from keeping American forces at the ready while looking for a deal, to walking away, to waging all-out war until Iran surrenders”
Tim Malloy, Quinnipiac University polling analyst · Courthouse News ↗ · Sep 9
Tim Malloy Quinnipiac University polling analyst
Donald Trump U.S. President
How it unfolded 3 developments, newest first · click a bar or a number to jump articlespostscomments
-
3
Reddit commenters voice skepticism and frustration over the lead's size
Commenters questioned why the Democratic advantage isn't larger given Trump's numbers, while others cautioned against overconfidence with two months left before the midterms.
“Only 11 points? WTF would the republicans have to do to sway so many tens of millions of you WHO STILL SUPPORT THIS AGENDA?”
— u/The7footr -
K
These numbers from the latest @nytimes.com poll are just ... wow. D+8.5 on generic ballot, 7 point issue advantages on the economy and immigration (among other issues), and only 66% of *Republicans* say they want a congressional candidate who will support Trump
2 more of the top 3 · 5 posts in this stretch
-
Only 11 points? WTF would the republicans have to do to sway so many tens of millions of you WHO STILL SUPPORT THIS AGENDA? Commit genocide on republicans? I’m flabbergasted that this isn’t an overwhelming win for democrats. I know, the ones who need to hear it aren’t in this sub, then know to keep their ignorant mouths shut and stay in their echo…
-
Just 21% approve of how the Democrats are handling their job in Congress compared with 70% who disapprove The funniest (recurring) phenomenon in American politics is voters giving Republicans all the power and then begrudging Democrats not being able to stop Republicans from fucking shit up.
-
-
2
USA Today coverage of the poll circulates on Reddit
A USA Today writeup of the poll numbers was posted to Reddit, prompting a wave of comments debating whether the 11-point lead is large enough given Trump's low approval.
“Which political party is most inclined to have your back? While neither gets high marks generally, the Democrats are judged more empathetic when it comes to the concerns of voters…”
— Tim Malloy, Quinnipiac University polling analyst · source -
1
Poll finds voters split on Canada tariffs and Iran war strategy
62% oppose Trump's handling of trade with Canada and 56% say he is too tough on Canada; on Iran, 39% favor keeping forces there while negotiating, 30% want withdrawal without a deal, and 22% want escalation.
-
background
Poll records Trump's lowest-ever approval marks and unpopular ballroom, Lake America moves — The survey gave Trump a 59% disapproval rating and his worst-ever Quinnipiac scores on the economy, the military and the Russia-Ukraine war; 60% disapprove of his White House ballroom and 70% oppose renaming Lake Ontario 'Lake America.'
-
background
Quinnipiac poll shows Democrats up 11 points for House control — A nationwide survey of 970 registered voters conducted Sept. 3-6 found 49% want Democrats to win House control versus 38% for Republicans, with 13% undecided.
Also covered reported alongside — the timeline has no entry for these yet
-
3 outlets New poll reveals 1 party with huge advantage in 2026 midterms. And it’s bad news for Trump.
first by NJ.com, 11d ago · also PennLive, MassLive
1 more headline
-
first by Politico, 11d ago · also Yahoo, The Hill
1 more headline
-
first by The New York Times, 9d ago · also NYT
1 more headline
- Democrats Gain Edge as Trump Drags Down G.O.P., New Poll Finds New York Times · 9d ago
-
first by NY Post, 11d ago · also New York Post
-
first by Courthouse News, 14d ago · also Courthouse News Service
-
first by CBS News, 11d ago
3 more headlines
- CBS Battleground Tracker poll: Democrats hold edge in bid for House control CBS News · 11d ago
- CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds Trump motivating both sides, Democrats have edge in seats in fight for House CBS News · 11d ago
- Democrats have edge in seats in fight for House, CBS News poll shows CBS News · 10d ago
and 3 smaller pieces
What people are saying 2 voices from 1 site · best of 5 · verbatim
- Sep 10
-
It will be a bloodbath and then the Dems will do nothing with it but pass "affordability" messaging bills while Trump keeps looting and turning DC into rubble.
-
Good shit but we still have 2 months...im not counting any chickens before they hatch Even beyond possible tightening of polls who knows what shenanigans Trump could have planned especially with all the USPS bs going on

